Il giorno giovedì 6 giugno alle ore 10.30 presso la Aula Seminari 4026 del DISMEQ, al IV piano dell'edificio U7, il prof. Georg Pflug della Università di Vienna terrà un
seminario su 

Model uncertainty in option pricing: challenging the Black-Scholes formula

Abstract
It is well known that the validity of the Black-Scholes (BS) 
formula is restricted to the case, when the Market model is a geometric 
Brownian motion and therefore admits only one Martingale measure.
We consider the situation, when the decision is made on the basis of an 
acceptability measure (the dual of a risk measure) and the market model 
is not exactly known, but it is known that it belongs to some ambiguity 
set of models. We demonstrate that in this case a nonzero bid-ask 
spread appears, even if the market model is close to the BS model.
The bid-ask spread increases with the degree of model uncertainty, but 
decreases with the acceptability level.
The results are based on a duality theorem for ambiguous decisions.

Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare.

--
Prof. Fabio Bellini
Department of Statistics and Quantitative Methods
University of Milano-Bicocca
Via Bicocca degli Arcimboldi 8, 20126 Milano
0039-2-64483119
http://scholar.google.it/citations?user=P61L8P4AAAAJ&hl=it