Il giorno Giovedì 29
Maggio 2014, alle ore 14:30
presso la sede di Prometeia (sala grande, primo piano)
via G.Marconi 43, Bologna
Luca REGIS
(IMT Lucca)
terrà un seminario dal titolo
"Longevity risk modelling and hedging via continuous-time cohort
models"
Abstract
Longevity risk, i.e. the risk of unexpected changes in the
survivorship
of policyholders, is perceived as one of the major threats to the
long-run solvency of annuity providers, such as pension funds.
Continuous-time models represent a useful tool in the modelling of
stochastic mortality. Non-mean reverting affine cohort processes
(Luciano and Vigna, 2008) provide a parsimonious but accurate
description of mortality tables. They are particularly suited to
pricing
and hedging purposes, due to their analytical tractability.
I present applications of such models to the management of
insurance
portfolios. I focus on longevity risk hedging techniques, such as
natural hedging, and reinsurance strategies. I will discuss the
implementation and the effectiveness of such strategies, as well
as the
effects of different risk sources (interest-rate risk, investment
risk)
- along with longevity risk - on the solvency of insurers.