OWABI Seminar - Oksana Chkrebtii - April 30 - 1pm UK time
Dear all, please save the date for the next OWABI seminar www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi<http://www.warwick.ac.uk/owabi>. We are delighted to announce that our next speaker is Oksana Chkrebtii<https://u.osu.edu/oksanachkrebtii/> (Ohio State University) who will talk about "Likelihood-free Posterior Density Learning for Uncertainty Quantification in Inference Problems" on Thursday the 30th April at 1pm UK time (note the different time!) with an abstract reported below. The talk will be streamed at the OWABI MS Team channel General | OWABI Seminar: One World Approximate Bayesian Inference Seminar | Microsoft Teams<https://teams.microsoft.com/l/team/19%3AdhZ_4e_XLNJzCXPAMzTvT6BZ5KShEETkd_wtTY52VI81%40thread.tacv2/conversations?groupId=9c061d11-f88c-4cee-938f-bf40e7393879&tenantId=09bacfbd-47ef-4465-9265-3546f2eaf6bc> at the following link Join: https://teams.microsoft.com/meet/374263351331567?p=tEOIPwLR7ejGFX1vSm Meeting ID: 374 263 351 331 567 Passcode: B8Em6Cg9 Speaker: Oksana A. Chkrebtii<https://u.osu.edu/oksanachkrebtii/> (Ohio State University) Title: Likelihood-free Posterior Density Learning for Uncertainty Quantification in Inference Problems Abstract: Generative models and those with computationally intractable likelihoods are widely used to describe complex systems in the natural sciences, social sciences, and engineering. Fitting these models to data requires likelihood-free inference methods that explore the parameter space without explicit likelihood evaluations, relying instead on sequential simulation, which comes at the cost of computational efficiency and extensive tuning. We develop an alternative framework called kernel-adaptive synthetic posterior estimation (KASPE) that uses deep learning to directly reconstruct the mapping between the observed data and a finite-dimensional parametric representation of the posterior distribution, trained on a large number of simulated datasets. We provide theoretical justification for KASPE and a formal connection to the likelihood-based approach of expectation propagation. Simulation experiments demonstrate KASPE’s flexibility and performance relative to existing likelihood-free methods including approximate Bayesian computation in challenging inferential settings involving posteriors with heavy tails, multiple local modes, and over the parameters of a nonlinear dynamical system. Keywords: Deep learning; likelihood-free inference; generative models. Reference: R. Zhang, O.A. Chkrebtii, D. Xiu. Likelihood-free Posterior Density Learning for Uncertainty Quantification in Inference Problems. Preprint at ArXiv:2508.00167 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.00167 Best, Massimiliano on the behalf of the OWABI Organisers ------ Dr. Massimiliano Tamborrino Reader (Associate Professor) and WIHEA Fellow Department of Statistics University of Warwick https://warwick.ac.uk/tamborrino
participants (1)
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Massimiliano Tamborrino