Ho il piacere di invitarvi al seguente seminario, che si terrà Lunedì 20 Marzo, alle 14:15,
in aula 1BC45 della Torre Archimede presso il Dipartimento di Matematica dell'Università degli Studi di Padova.
SPEAKER:
Francesca Nardi
AFFILIATION:
Università di Firenze
TITLE:
Hitting Time Asymptotics for Hard-Core Interactions on Grids
ABSTRACT:
We consider the hard-core model with Metropolis transition probabilities on finite
grid graphs and investigate the asymptotic behavior of the first …
[View More]hitting time between its two
maximum-occupancy configurations in the low-temperature regime. In particular, we show
how the order-of-magnitude of this first hitting time depends on the grid sizes and on the
boundary conditions by means of a novel combinatorial method. Our analysis also proves the
asymptotic exponentiality of the scaled hitting time and yields the mixing time of the process
in the low-temperature limit as side-result. In order to derive these results, we extended the
model-independent framework in Manzo et al. (J Stat Phys 115(1/2):591–642, 2004) for first
hitting times to allow for a more general initial state and target subset.
Work in collaboration with A. Zocca S. C. Borst
Paolo Dai Pra
Dipartimento di Matematica
Via Trieste, 63
35121 Padova
Tel. +39 0498271361
Fax +39 0498271428
daipra(a)math.unipd.it
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STATISTICS SEMINARS @ COLLEGIO CARLO ALBERTO
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Venerdi 17 Marzo 2017 alle ore 12:00, presso l’Aula Rossa del Collegio Carlo Alberto, Moncalieri (TO), si terra' il seguente seminario:
Maria DE IORIO (University College London)
DEPENDENT GENERALISED DIRICHLET PROCESS PRIORS
We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric process prior for modelling a …
[View More]collections of random discrete distributions. This process is defined by combining a Generalised Dirichlet Process with a suitable Beta regression framework that introduces dependence among the discrete random distributions. This strategy allows for covariate dependent clustering of the observations. Some advantages of the proposed approach include wide applicability, ease of interpretation and efficient MCMC algorithms. The methodology is illustrated through two real data applications involving acute lymphoblastic leukaemia and London primary schools quality evaluations.
Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare.
Il seminario e' organizzato dalla "de Castro" Statistics Initiative (http://www.carloalberto.org/stats <http://www.carloalberto.org/stats>) in collaborazione con il Collegio Carlo Alberto.
Cordiali saluti,
Matteo Ruggiero
---
Matteo Ruggiero
University of Torino and Collegio Carlo Alberto
www.matteoruggiero.it
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Lunedì 13 marzo
Ore 16:00, Aula di Consiglio, Dipartimento di Matematica,
Università Roma La Sapienza
Seminario di probabilità e statistica matematica
Yosi Rinott, The Hebrew University and LUISS.
Title: Differential Privacy applied to common methods of dissemination of
frequency tables.
When official data are to be disseminated to the public, the agency that
releases the data must guarantee the privacy of individuals whose data are
to be released.
It is not clear how to define and …
[View More]measure privacy. I will explain a notion
developed in computer science known as Differential Privacy, and my work
(with others) on
issues that arise in applying it to the dissemination of frequency tables.
Tutti gli interessati sono invitati ad intervenire. Per informazioni
rivolgersi a piccioni(a)mat.uniroma1.it
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SEMINARI DI PROBABILITA' E STATISTICA MATEMATICA
DIPARTIMENTO DI MATEMATICA "G. PEANO"
UNIVERSITA' DEGLI STUDI DI TORINO
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*::..Reminder..::*
Mercoledì 15 Marzo 2017 alle ore 11:30 in Aula C presso il Dipartimento di
Matematica "G. Peano" dell'Università degli Studi di Torino, Via Carlo
Alberto 10,
Il Prof. CARLO SGARRA (Politecnico di Milano)
terrà …
[View More]un seminario dal titolo
A BRANCHING PROCESS-BASED APPROACH TO POWER MARKETS
(The talk will be mainly based on a joint paper with Y. Jiao, C. Ma and S.
Scotti).
Abstract:
Energy markets, and in particular, electricity markets, exhibit very
peculiar features. The historical series of both futures and spot prices
include seasonality, mean-reversion, spikes and small fluctuations. Very
often a stochastic volatility dynamics is postulated in order to explain
their high degree of variability.
After the pioneering paper by Schwartz, where an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck
dynamics is assumed to describe the spot price behavior, several different
approaches have been investigated in order to describe the price evolution.
High frequency trading, on the other hand, introduced some new features in
commodity prices dynamics: in a recent paper by V. Filimonov, D. Bicchetti,
N. Maystre and D. Sornette evidence is shown of endogeneity and structural
regime shift, and in order to quantify this level the branching ratio is
adopted as a measure of this endogenous impact and a Hawkes processes
dynamics is assumed as a reasonable modelling framework taking into account
the self-exciting properties.
The purpose of the present investigation is to propose a new modeling
framework including all the above mentioned features, still keeping a high
level of tractability. The model considered allows to obtain the most
common derivatives prices in closed or semi-closed form. Here with
semi-closed we mean that the Laplace transform of the derivative price
admits an explicit expression.
The models we are going to introduce can describe the prices dynamics in
two different forms, that can be proved to be equivalent: the first is a
representation based on random fields, the second is based on Continuous
Branching Processes with Immigration (CBI in the following).
Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare.
Un saluto,
--
Federico Polito
Department of Mathematics
University of Torino
Via Carlo Alberto, 10
10123, Torino, Italy
Email: fpolito(a)unito.it
Tel: +39 011 6702862
Web: www.federicopolito.it
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The following PhD course in Geostatistics will be held at the Department
of Mathematics, Politecnico di Milano
The course covers classical and advanced models and methods for the
statistical analysis of data with spatial dependence. Lectures include
tutorial sessions with the software R. Many case studies will be
presented, with applications in the earth-sciences, in the neurosciences
and more generally in the life-sciences (including medical imaging), and
in the engineering.
Lessons:
1 …
[View More]& 2) Kriging: stationary and isotropic random fields; structural
properties of the variogram; valid variogram models; variogram
estimation; kriging prediction for georeferenced data; drift estimation;
kriging for data in Hilbert spaces. Lecturer: A. Menafoglio.
3) Non-parametric techniques. Lecturer: Simone Vantini.
4) Bayesian models for georeferenced data and areal data. Lecturer: A.
Guglielmi.
5) Numerical methods for the analysis of spatially distributed data:
thin-plate splines; tensor product splines. Lecturer: L. Sangalli.
6) Spatial regression with differential regularization. Lecturer: L.
Sangalli.
Essential bibliography:
- N. Cressie. Statistics for Spatial data. John Wiley & Sons, New York,
1993.
- S. Banerjee, B. P. Carlin, and A. E. Gelfand. Hierarchical Modeling
and Analysis for Spatial Data. Chapman & Hall / CRC, 2004.
- R. Bivand, E. Pebesma, V. Gomez-Rubio. Applied Spatial Data Analysis
with R. Springer, 2008
Calendar:
Tuesday 7/3, 14:30-17:30, aula del Consiglio, seventh floor;
Kriging; Lecturer: Alessandra Menafoglio
Thursday 9/3, 10:00-13:00, aula Seminari, sixth floor;
Kriging; Lecturer: Alessandra Menafoglio
Tuesday 21/3, 14:30-17:30, aula Seminari, sixth floor;
Non-parametric techniques; Lecturer: Simone Vantini
Thursday 23/3, 14:30-17:30, aula Seminari, sixth floor;
Bayesian models for georeferenced data and areal data; Lecturer:
Alessandra Guglielmi
Tuesday 28/3, 14:30-17:30, aula Seminari, sixth floor;
Numerical methods for the analysis of spatially distributed data;
Lecturer: Laura Sangalli
Thursday 30/3, 14:30-17:30, aula Seminari, sixth floor;
Spatial regression with differential regularization; Lecturer: Laura
Sangalli
People interested to attend are kindly requested to write an email to
laura.sangalli(a)polimi.it
--
Laura Maria Sangalli
MOX - Dipartimento di Matematica
Politecnico di Milano
Piazza Leonardo da Vinci 32
20133 Milano - Italy
tel: +39 02 2399 4554
fax: +39 02 2399 4568
email: laura.sangalli(a)polimi.it
url: http://mox.polimi.it/~sangalli
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On behalf of the Scientific Committee of the de Finetti
Risk Seminars, we are glad to invite you to participate at
the following Lecture
TITLE:
Duality formulas for robust pricing and hedging in
discrete time
Patrick Cheridito
ETH Zurich
ABSTRACT:
In this paper we derive robust super- and subhedging dualities for
contingent claims that can depend on several underlying assets. In addition to
strict super- and subhedging, we also consider relaxed versions which, instead
of eliminating …
[View More]the shortfall risk completely, aim to reduce it to an acceptable
level. This yields robust price bounds with tighter spreads. As applications we
study strict super- and subhedging with general convex transaction costs and
trading constraints as well as risk based hedging with respect to robust
versions of the average value at risk and entropic risk measure. Our approach
is based on representation results for increasing convex functionals and allows
for general financial market structures. As a side result it yields a robust
version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing. Joint work with Michael
Kupper and Ludovic Tangpi.
LOCATION:
The seminar will be held on Wednesday, March 15, at 18.00,
Aula di rappresentanza, Dept. of Mathematics, Milano
University, Via C. Saldini 50, Milano. A refreshment will
be offered at 17.30.
Scientific Committee
Prof. Simone Cerreia-Voglio (Univ. Bocconi)
Prof. Marco Frittelli (Univ. degli Studi di Milano)
Prof. Fabio Maccheroni (Univ. Bocconi)
Prof. Massimo Marinacci (Univ. Bocconi)
Prof. Emanuela Rosazza Gianin (Univ. Milano-Bicocca)
Dott. Marco Maggis (Univ. degli Studi di Milano)
****************************************************
Emanuela Rosazza Gianin
Dipartimento di Statistica e Metodi Quantitativi
Università di Milano Bicocca
Edificio U7 – 4° Piano
Via Bicocca degli Arcimboldi, 8
20126 Milano
Tel. 02 64483208
Fax. 02 64483105
e-mail: emanuela.rosazza1(a)unimib.it
*****************************************************
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Oggetto: [Forum SIS] Bocconi Summer School in Statistics & Probability, 10-22 July 2017
--> CALL FOR APPLICATIONS
Bocconi Summer School in Advanced Statistics and Probability:
"Statistical Causal Learning", July 10-22, 2017
http://spas.lakecomoschool.org
We are pleased to announce the "Bocconi Summer School in Advanced Statistics and Probability", organized and sponsored by Bocconi University, Milano, in collaboration with the Lake Como School of Advanced Studies.
The aim of the …
[View More]Bocconi Summer School is to establish a track of high level courses on advanced and cutting-edge topics in Statistics and Probability and related areas.
The school is open to all interested scholars, but is especially addressed to doctoral students, and possibly to brilliant MSc graduates interested in pursuing doctoral studies in Statistics, Probability, Computer Science, Applied Mathematics, Operation Research and related fields.
The School is hosted yearly at Villa del Grumello, on the shores of the Lake of Como, usually in July.
The 2017 edition, on "STATISTICAL CAUSAL LEARNING", will take place on 10-22 July, 2017.
INSTRUCTORS:
* Bernhard Schölkopf (Empirical Inference Department Director, Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems, Tubingen);
* Ilya Tolstikhin (Research Scientist, Max Plank Institute for Intelligent Systems, Tubingen);
* David Lopez-Paz (Researcher at Facebook AI Research, Paris).
APPLICATIONS:
The School will be open to 30 qualified and selected students.
Applications can be submitted BY APRIL 7, 2017, through the form: http://spas.lakecomoschool.org/application-form/
REGISTRATION and FEES.
Admitted participants should register by May 7, 2017.
The registration fee (450 euro) covers all the school activities and course material; wi-fi connections; all work-days lunches in the beautiful park of Villa del Grumello and accommodation in the Guest House of the Villa and in other facilities in the immediate surroundings for the 2 weeks (July 9 – July 22, 2017).
For any further information, please visit the website http://spas.lakecomoschool.org
or contact BBS.statistics(a)unibocconi.it
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ANNUNCIO DI SEMINARIO
Il giorno 13/3/2017 alle ore 15 esatte, in aula 3014 presso il Dipartimento di Matematica e Applicazioni dell'Università di Milano-Bicocca, il professor Rafael De Mattos Grisi (Universidade Federal do ABC -Brasile) terrà un seminario dal titolo
A view on maximal spacings in several dimensions
tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare.
Abstract: Let K be a compact subset of R^d and N a Poisson process on K. The maximal spacing of N on K is defined as the radius …
[View More]of the largest open ball in K, avoiding the points of N.
Considering N homogenized with intensity t, Jason('87) studied the behaviour of the maximal spacing of N as t goes to infinity. In 1983, Deheuvels studied the asymptotic behaviour of the k-th maximal spacing considering K a hypercube and measuring the spaces also using hypercubes.
More recently Fraiman et.al.('15) studied the non-homogeneous case.
In this ongoing work, we try to generalize Jason's results, studying the behaviour of k-th maximal spacing for the homogeneous process. This is a joint work with Pablo Ferrari, from Universidad de Buenos Aires.
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Annuncio Seminario di Probabilita, Pisa,
Dipartmento di Matematica, Universita di Pisa
Mercoledi, 8 marzo, ore 11:00, Aula Seminari
Seminario di Probabilita
SPEAKER 1 (ore 11:00): Francesca R. Nardi, University of Florence
TITLE: Metastability for General Dynamics with Rare Transitions: Escape
Time and Critical Configurations
ABSTRACT: Metastability is an ubiquitous physical phenomenon in first
order phase transitions. A fruitful mathematical way to approach this
phenomenon is the study …
[View More]of rare transitions for Markov chains. For
Metropolis chains associated with statistical mechanical systems, this
phenomenon has been described in an elegant way through a pathwise
approach in terms of the energy landscape associated to the Hamiltonian
of the system. In the seminar we will first explain the main results and
ideas of this approach and compare it with other existing ones. Then we
will provide a similar description in the general rare transitions setup
that can be applied to irreversible systems as well.
Besides their theoretical content, we believe that our results are a
useful tool to approach metastability for non-Metropolis systems such as
Probabilistic Cellular Automata. Moreover, we will describe results
pertaining to exponential hitting times which range of applicability
includes irreversible systems, systems with exponentially growing
volumes and systems with a general starting measure.
(joint work with Emilio N. M. Cirillo, R. Fernandez, F. Manzo, E.
Scoppola and J. Sohier).
Dopo una pausa di circa 5min, proseguiamo con
SPEAKER 2 (ore 12:00): Valeria De Mattei, Universita di Pisa
TITLE: Mean field games with mean field and moderate interactions
ABSTRACT: We consider a mean field game where N players interact both
inthe cost functionals and in the dynamics. The new feature is that
thedynamical interaction is of the so called "moderate" type,
intermediatebetween the more classical mean field interaction and a
strictly localinteraction. A modification of the classical mean field
game scheme ispresented. Convergence to a system of PDEs, the mean field
equation forour system, is discussed.
Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare. Per informazioni
scrivere a carina.geldhauser(a)dm.unipi.it
<mailto:carina.geldhauser@dm.unipi.it>
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