Carissim*,
il 30 marzo si svolgerà un incontro scientifico UMI (nell'ambito degli
eventi organizzati per il centenario dell'UMI) presso il Dipartimento di
Economia dell'Università G. d'Annunzio di Chieti-Pescara. Qui di seguito le
informazioni:
30 MARZO 2023
Aula 10
Viale Pindaro 42 , Pescara
Dipartimento di Economia
Università degli Studi G. d’Annunzio Chieti-Pescara
15,00 Opening
*15,15-15,55 Maurizio Parton*, Università degli Studi G. d’Annunzio
Chieti-Pescara
*Machine learning e …
[View More]matematica*
<https://umi.dm.unibo.it/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/bis-abstract1-pescara202…>
16,00 Coffee break
*16,20-17.00 Lucia Caramellino*, Università degli Studi di Roma Tor Vergata
*Numerical option pricing under stochastic volatility*
<https://umi.dm.unibo.it/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/abstract2Milano-2023-.pdf>
*Comitato Incontri Scientifici* (
https://umi.dm.unibo.it/comitati/gruppo-di-lavoro-incontri-scientifici/)
*Organizzatore locale*: Claudia Ceci ( claudia.ceci(a)uniroma1.it)
La partecipazione è libera ma è necessario compilare il form alla pagina
https://umi.dm.unibo.it/pescara30marzo23/
Cari saluti, Claudia Ceci
************************************
Claudia Ceci
Dipartimento di Metodi e Modelli per l’Economia, il Territorio e la Finanza
(MEMOTEF)
Università di Roma La Sapienza
Via Del Castro Laurenziano 9
Roma 00161 Italy
claudia.ceci(a)uniroma1.it
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Dear all,
we are glad to announce the following seminar by Dr. *Vincenzo Candila*
(University of Salerno) on Wednesday March 29th 2023 starting from 4:30
p.m. in room 2062 at the Department of Statistics and Quantitative Methods,
University of Milano-Bicocca (Milan).
*On the tennis winner forecasting methods: from the Weighted Elo rates to
the network-based indicators*
*Vincenzo **Candila*
Department of Economics and Statistics
University of Salerno
*Abstract:*
Statistical methods for …
[View More]predicting the winner in tennis matches have
increased in popularity over the last two decades. Currently, several
techniques are available, such as the regression-based, point-based, and
paired-comparison approaches. Within this latter class, the Elo rating is
one of the most popular methods to predict the probability of winning
tennis matches. Even with its widely recognized merits in terms of good
performance, the Elo method only partially considers each player's current
form and recent performances. To overcome this drawback, we have proposed a
new version of the Elo rating method, labeled Weighted Elo (WElo), where
the standard Elo rates are weighted according to the scoreline of the
players’ last match. More recently, we have further enlarged the
paired-comparison class of models, introducing the network-based indicators
for the first time to allow the ratings of the whole set of players to vary
every time there is a new match. This work aims to illustrate the main
characteristics of the WElo and network-based rates. In the empirical
applications, we show the statistically meaningful benefits of using the
proposed approaches with respect to many popular competing specifications.
*March 29th, 2023 at 4:30 p.m.*
*Department of Statistics and Quantitative Methods*
*Room **2062* * - Building U7 (Second floor)*
*Bicocca degli Arcimboldi street, 8 – 20126 Milan*
For further information, please write to rosanna.grassi(a)unimib.it
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Dear Colleagues,
We are pleased to announce the fourth edition of the *QFin@Work* on *April
28, 2023*, a workshop on the practical use of quantitative methods in
Finance and related fields hosted by the Master of Science in Finance and
Banking <https://economia.uniroma2.it/master-science/financeandbanking/> of
Tor Vergata University of Rome.
The goal is to bring together leading experts, especially finance
professionals, to learn from their experiences, listen to new ideas, and
…
[View More]discuss future perspectives in the field.
The schedule is available at https://qfinatwork.com/2023.
Attendance is free and participants are encouraged to register soon!
Looking forward to having you with us,
Rocco Ciciretti (On behalf of the Scientific and Organizing committee)
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Care colleghe e colleghi,
Vi annunciamo che prossimamente si terrà l'undicesima giornata di seminari:
A SPRING DAY IN PROBABILITY AND STATISTICAL PHYSICS
University of Florence
Friday 21 April 2023
Lecturers: Fabio Toninelli (Vienna) and Julia Komjathy (Delft)
Location: Sala Tricerri, Dipartimento di Matematica e Informatica Ulisse Dini, viale Morgagni 67/a, Firenze, Firenze
Ricordiamo che ciascun oratore farà una lezione introduttiva e divulgativa di 45 minuti pensata proprio per i non …
[View More]esperti, seguita da altri 45 minuti di tipo seminario (vedi programma). Maggiori informazioni e aggiornamenti sono reperibili alla pagina web https://sites.google.com/unifi.it/florence-probability-group/home/days-in-p…
Note pratiche: a coloro che fossero interessati (per una migliore organizzazione) chiediamo di compilare il seguente Google Form per indicare l'intenzione di partecipare alla giornata e in particolare al pranzo: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdksgtnmxrLTE4h9RLyEfx3lo0aMHpowiI…
Vi aspettiamo numerosi!
Gianmarco Bet e Luisa Andreis
Scientific advisory committee: F. Caravenna, E.N.M. Cirillo, F. Colomo, P. Dai Pra, A. De Masi, C. Giardina`, R. Livi, F. Martinelli, I.G. Minelli, B. Scoppola, E. Scoppola.
PROGRAMMA
Prof. Fabio Toninelli (Technical University of Vienna)
Title: Out-of-equilibrium phenomena and stochastic PDEs
Prof. Julia Komjathy (Technical University of Delft)
Title: TBA
10:30-11:00 Welcome coffee
11.00-11.45 Introductory lecture: Toninelli
11.45-12.15 Break
12.15-13.00 Seminar: Toninelli
13.00-14.30 Lunch
14.30-15.15 Introductory lecture: Komjathy
15.15-15.45 Break
15.45-16.30 Seminar: Komjathy
[cid:6D6AED0A-79CF-4C81-9F23-96145C7CAFD5]
Luisa Andreis
-------------------------------------------------------
RTD-B
Dipartimento di Matematica
Politecnico di Milano
Personal webpage: https://sites.google.com/view/luisaandreis/home
Email: luisa.andreis(a)polimi.it<mailto:luisa.andreis@polimi.it>
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Dear all,
On Wednesday, February 15th, at 14h00 in Aula Dal Passo at Roma Tor
Vergata, RoMaDS (https://www.mat.uniroma2.it/~rds/about.php) will host
Francesco Vaccarino (Politecnico di Torino) with the seminar
_ _
_"Hodge-Shapley game: a Laplacian-based Shapley-like associated game for
eXplainable AI"_
_ _
Abstract:
In cooperative game theory, a set of players or decision-makers should
negotiate to decide how to allocate the worth gained by the coalition
composed of all the players. …
[View More]A value is a solution concept that suggests
the outcome of the negotiation among players. Among the many existing
alternative solution concepts, it is prevalent the Shapley value
solution concept. Its popularity also derives from the property of being
a fair allocation, where a set of desirable properties or axioms
describes fairness. The axioms characterize the Shapley value in the
sense that it is the unique value satisfying those properties; at the
same time, the axioms allow deriving a simple explicit combinatorial
formula to compute the Shapley value. In our approach, coalitions are
the main subjects of cooperation, instead of single players, and,
inspired by the Shapley value, the goal is to derive a fair associated
game, i.e. an allocation to coalitions satisfying a set of desirable
properties. The methodology is based on using the Hodge decomposition of
the simplicial complex associated with the partially ordered set of the
subsets of the set of players ordered by inclusion. We will motivate
this investigation within the framework of Explainable Artificial
Intelligence (XAI).
Joint work with Antonio Mastropietro (Eurecom - F)
We encourage in-person partecipation. Should you be unable to come, here
is the link to the event on Teams:
https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3arfsL73KX-fw86y1YnXq2nk5VnZFw…
The seminar is part of the Excellence Project Math@TOV.
You can find a schedule with the next events at the following link:
https://www.mat.uniroma2.it/~rds/events.php .
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OWPS's next session will be on Wednesday the 29th of March from 15:00 to 17:00 UTC (Coordinated Universal Time). Our next speakers are:
Milton Jara (IMPA) and Otávio Menezes (Purdue University)
Title, abstract and the zoom link are below the signature and can be found on the website https://www.owprobability.org/one-world-probability-seminar.
If you are interested in the project, we kindly ask you to share this announcement within your community.
With best wishes,
Alberto Chiarini (Padua) …
[View More]and Adrián González Casanova (Berkeley and México)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Talk : Milton Jara (IMPA) and Otávio Menezes (Purdue University)
Title : CLT for NESS
Abstract : Non-equilibrium stationary states (NESS) are ubiquitous in nature, but not well understood from a mathematical point of view. The main features of NESS is the presence of non-trivial currents, which generate long-range correlations in the system. Modeling physical systems by Markov chains, one can restate questions about NESS as the description of invariant measures for non-reversible Markov chains. This opens the way to describe NESS by probabilistic methods. However, basic questions for non-reversible Markov chains, like for example mixing times or quantitative CLTs are not been answered in great generality. Our first talk will introduce NESS with some examples, and it will introduce general and fairly elementary methodology for Markov chains that we believe is well suited to the study of non-reversible Markov chains. The second talk will describe some recent results about the description of NESS for driven-diffusive systems.
Zoom-link: https://unipd.zoom.us/j/82893164291?pwd=RHZIeXU2b3pVOE1OSU5tdFd2Y2RPUT09
Meeting ID: 828 9316 4291
Passcode: 251936
If you are having trouble with zoom, or if the capacity of the zoom room gets exceeded, you can also access to the Youtube live stream at the channel of the seminar: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCiLiEQGTp6bZEhuHDM-WNWQ
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Dear Colleagues,
On March 29, 2023, 13:00-14:00, Dr. Marco Tarsia (University of Insubria) will give a talk on “Subgame-perfect equilibrium strategies for time-inconsistent recursive stochastic control problems” (joint work with Elisa Mastrogiacomo).
The seminar will be held in person and online via the MS Teams platform.
Link:
https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3ameeting_OWU0MDRiNjctYWNmYS00…
Place: Dipartimento di Economia, Via Monte Generoso 71, room TBA.
Below you can find …
[View More]an abstract of Marco’s talk. You are all invited.
***
Abstract
In this talk, we discuss about time-inconsistent recursive stochastic control problems, i.e., for which Bellman’s principle of optimality does not hold. In practice, a restriction of an optimal control for a specific initial pair on a later time interval might not be optimal for that corresponding initial pair; this happens, for instance, in dynamic utility maximization problems for investment- consumption strategies under non-exponential discounting. For this class of problems classical optimal controls may fail to exist, or to be relevant in practice, and dynamic programming is not easily applicable. Therefore, the notion of optimality is defined through a game-theoretic framework by means of subgame-perfect equilibrium: we interpret our preference changes which, realistically, are inconsistent over time, as players in a game for which we want to find a Nash equilibrium. The approach followed in our work relies on the stochastic (Pontryagin) maximum principle: we adapt the classical spike variation technique to obtain a characterization of equilibrium strategies in terms of a generalized second-order Hamiltonian function defined through pairs of backward stochastic differential equations, even in the multidimensional case. We emphasize that, similarly to the classical case, equilibrium strategies are characterized through both a necessary condition and a sufficient condition involving the generalized Hamiltonian function, whereas, contrary to the classical case, this sufficient condition works even in the absence of extra convexity assumptions. Going further, our analysis is extended to time-inconsistent recursive stochastic control problems under a constraint defined by means of an additional recursive utility, under appropriate boundedness assumptions. That constraint refers to an expected value and so we adapt Ekeland’s variational principle to this trickier situation. Finally, the theoretical results are applied in the financial field to finite horizon investment-consumption policies with non-exponential actualization. Here the existence of non-trivial equilibrium policies is also ascertained.
Best regards,
Elisa Mastrogiacomo
-----------------------------------------
Professore Associato di
Metodi matematici dell'economia e delle scienze attuariali e finanziarie
DIPARTIMENTO D'ECCELLENZA 2023/2027
Università degli Studi dell'Insubria
Dipartimento di Economia
Via Monte Generoso, 71 – 21100 Varese
tel. +39 0332/395528
web: www.uninsubria.it<http://www.uninsubria.it/>
mail: elisa.mastrogiacomo(a)uninsubria.it<mailto:mario.rossi@uninsubria.it>
Chiaramente Insubria!
[LOGO-ATENEO-FONDO TRASPARENTE]<http://www.uninsubria.it/> [Facebook] <https://www.facebook.com/uninsubria> [Twitter] <https://twitter.com/Uni_Insubria> [Instagram] <https://instagram.com/uninsubria> [YouTube] <https://www.youtube.com/user/LabVAMultimedia>
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Ricordo il seminario di oggi, e segnalo che sarà trasmesso su zoom al
seguente link:
*Zoom link: *
https://uniroma1.zoom.us/j/98462690288?pwd=SnYrNmpTQXQxZEI2UmN3VW1ucVNBdz09
Meeting ID: 984 6269 0288
Passcode: 683135
*Martedì 21 Marzo, ore 14:00* Sala di Consiglio, Dipartimento di
Matematica, Sapienza Università di Roma
*Speaker:* Marta Leocata, SNS
*Title: *Modeling an example of green transition
*Abstract:* The work presented is part of a collaboration between
mathematicians and …
[View More]philosophers of ethics, politics, and society aiming to
understand mechanisms of green energy transition where some kind of
interaction between many subjects and collective behaviors seem to play a
role. We have identified as a first example the case of solar photovoltaic,
with the purpose of explaining the time series of Italy and of different
regions. We use tools from continuous-time Markov chains, mean field
limits, optimal control, and mean field games.
Then, we specify our analysis on the case of domestic installations. In
order to explain them we propose a Markovian model of interacting particle
systems to describe the decision of a significant proportion of the general
public in Italy on the installation of solar photovoltaics (PVs) and
compare our models to real data. We assume that the adoption decision
follows a well precise pattern. First, the general public develops a
certain level of sensitivity to climate change and environmental issues.
Then it plans to install the PVs because she/he has a sufficient amount of
information on the benefits of PVs. Finally, it installs PVs because the
economic benefits out-weights the costs. In conclusion, we propose some
original policies, not based not on financial incentives. This work is in
collaboration with Franco Flandoli (SNS), Giulia Livieri (SNS), Silvia
Morlacchi (SNS), Fausto Corvino (University of Gothenburg) and Alberto
Pirni (SSSA).
********************************
Vittoria Silvestri
Assistant Professor
Department of Mathematics
University "La Sapienza"
Piazzale Aldo Moro, 5
00185 - Rome
********************************
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Dear Colleagues,
We would like to invite you to the following seminar that will take place
on March 31 at 14.30 at the Math Department of Padova.
The seminar will be held in person and online via the Zoom platform.
The organizers,
Alessandra Bianchi, Giorgia Callegaro, Marco Formentin
_____________________________________________________
*Speaker*: Nicola Turchi (Università Milano Bicocca)
*Title*: High-dimensional random polytopes of the Beta kind
*Date and time*: Friday, MARCH 31 at …
[View More]14.30
*Place*: room 1BC45 at the Department of Mathematics, University of Padova
*Zoom link*: https://unipd.zoom.us/j/82935460505 (Meeting ID 829 3546 0505)
available also on the webpage https://www.math.unipd.it/~bianchi/seminari/
*Abstract*: Beta polytopes are a class of random polytopes, which arise as
convex hulls of independent random points distributed according to a
certain radially-symmetric probability distribution supported on the
Euclidean ball, called the beta distribution.
A prominent reason for the interest surrounding them is that the beta
distribution exhibits peculiar properties that make exact computations
possible to achieve, contrarily to most other models of randomness with
non-independent coordinates.
As the space dimension grows, the expected fraction of the volume that
these polytopes fill within their supporting balls can be asymptotically
negligible or not, depending on the number of points which are picked in
each dimension.
In this talk we give an overview on how to quantify this statement, first
showing a rough threshold for the aforementioned growth and secondly a more
precise one, namely how many points are needed to get any fraction in
average. Lastly, we show how we can handle more precise asymptotics for the
approach towards zero in the lower regimes of points, based on a work in
progress with G. Bonnet and Z. Kabluchko.
--
Alessandra Bianchi
Dip. di Matematica
Università di Padova
Via Trieste, 63 - 35121 Padova, Italy
phone: +39 049 827 14 06
fax: +39 049 827 14 28
e-mail: bianchi(a)math.unipd.it
http://www.math.unipd.it/~bianchi/
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Nella Gazzetta Ufficiale - IV Serie Speciale n. 21 del 17/03/2023 è stato pubblicato l'avviso relativo all'indizione della procedura selettiva per il Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche:
RTDB - SSD SECS-S/06 Metodi matematici dell'economia e delle scienze attuariali e finanziarie - Cod. 2023rtdb003
Bando disponibile all'Albo Ufficiale e alla pagina concorsi del sito web di Ateneo all’indirizzo: https://www.univr.it/it/concorsi/personale-docente
La scadenza per la presentazione delle domande è…
[View More] il 17 APRILE 2023 alle ore 20.00.
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