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Seminario di Luisa Andreis, Sapienza Università di Roma, 14 Febbraio
by Lorenzo Taggi 09 Feb '23

09 Feb '23

Martedì 14 Febbraio, ore 14:00 Sala di Consiglio, Dipartimento di Matematica, Sapienza Università di Roma *Speaker:* Luisa Andreis, Politecnico di Milano *Abstract:* Rare events for dense random graphs are well described using the theory of large deviations and graphons. When graphs are sparse the picture is less clear, objects that describe globally the graphs and their limits, as graphons do for dense graphs, have not been defined yet. Nevertheless we do have information on how these graphs look like when explored locally from a vertex and this, under some assumptions, gives also information on global properties. In this talk we will give an overview on what is known on rare events in this regime, focusing in particular on large deviation statements on connected components in inhomogeneous random graphs and on links with coagulation processes. This talk is based on joint works with Wolfgang König (WIAS and TU Berlin), Tejas Iyer, Heide Langhammer, Elena Magnanini and Robert Patterson (WIAS).

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ABS23 school: Bayesian Causal Inference in Firenze (June 12-16, 2023)
by Elisa Varini 09 Feb '23

09 Feb '23

Dear all, we are glad to inform you that it is now possible to pay the registration fee (by bank transfer or credit card) for the Applied Bayesian Statistics ABS23 which will be held in Firenze (Italy) on June, 12-16, 2023. Website: http://www.mi.imati.cnr.it/conferences/abs23/ The school is organised by CNR IMATI (Institute of Applied Mathematics and Information Technologies at the Italian National Research Council in Milano), this year in cooperation with the Florence Center for Data Science and the Department of Statistics, Computer Science and Applications at the University of Firenze. The topic will be BAYESIAN CAUSAL INFERENCE. The lecturer will be FAN LI (Duke University, https://scholars.duke.edu/person/fli) with the support by researchers at the University of Firenze. The University of Firenze can issue a certificate stating that the course is worth 3 ECTS credits. Interested students can write to abs23(a)mi.imati.cnr.it Once you register on the school website: http://www.mi.imati.cnr.it/conferences/abs23/ you will receive an email with the link to pay by credit card as well as the information on payment by bank transfer (please note that the early registration fee is available until April, 15th, 2023). Please note that only a very limited number of seats is still available and that Firenze is a very popular tourist place, so that it is better to make arrangements as soon as possible. More details about accommodation are available in the ABS23 website. As in the past (since 2004), there will be a combination of theoretical and practical sessions, along with presentations by participants about their work (past, current and future) related to the topic of the school. OUTLINE: The aim of this course is to introduce the fundamental concepts and the state-of-the-art methods for causal inference under the potential outcomes framework, with an emphasis on the Bayesian inferential paradigm. Topics will cover randomized experiments, common methods for observational studies, such as propensity score, matching, weighting and doubly-robust estimation, heterogeneous treatment effects, sensitivity analysis, instrumental variables, principal stratification, panel data methods, and longitudinal treatments. Recent advances related to high dimensional analysis and machine learning will be naturally incorporated into the discussion. All methods will be illustrated via real world case studies. We hope you will be interested in the school and we would like to meet you in Firenze next year. We invite you also to share the information with people potentially interested. Best regards Elisa Varini and Fabrizio Ruggeri Executive Director and Director of ABS23

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SPASS Seminar: Lihan Wang
by Francesco Grotto 08 Feb '23

08 Feb '23

Dear Colleagues, We would like to invite you to the following SPASS seminar, jointly organized by UniPi, SNS, UniFi and UniSi: Accelerate Sampling Using Birth-Death Dynamics Lihan Wang (Carnigie-Mellon University, Max Planck Institute Leipzig) The seminar will take place on TUE, 14.2.2023 at 14:00 CET in Sala Seminari, Dipartimento di Matematica, Pisa and streamed online at the link below. The organizers, A. Agazzi, G. Bet, A. Caraceni, F. Grotto, G. Zanco https://sites.google.com/unipi.it/spass -------------------------------------------- *Abstract: *In this talk, I will discuss the birth-death dynamics for sampling multimodal probability distributions, which is the spherical Hellinger gradient flow of relative entropy. The advantage of the birth-death dynamics is that, unlike any local dynamics such as Langevin dynamics, it allows global movement of mass directly from one mode to another, without the difficulty of going through low probability regions. We prove that the birth death dynamics converges to the unique invariant measure with a uniform rate under some mild conditions, showing its potential of overcoming metastability. We will also show that on torus, the kernelized dynamics, which is used for numerical simulation, Gamma-converges to the idealized dynamics as the kernel bandwidth shrinks to zero. Joint work with Yulong Lu (UMass Amherst) and Dejan Slepcev (CMU).

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Call of interest for researcher, associate or full professor at Tor Vergata University in Rome
by salvi 08 Feb '23

08 Feb '23

Dear all, The Department of Mathematics of Tor Vergata University in Rome has been selected for the second time in a row as "Department of Excellence in Mathematics" in Italy. The Department aims at hiring mathematicians with an outstanding record of high impact research, excellence and leadership, according to the career age. A call of interest for positions as tenure track Researcher (Italian rtdB/Rtt), Associate or Full Professor in any field of Mathematics (thus including Probability Theory!) can be found with all further details at https://www.mat.uniroma2.it/call.php Thanks for sharing the information with whom might be interested and do not hesitate to contact me for any related question. All the best, Michele Salvi

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Second announcement Summer School on "Khintchine's Inequality: old and,new", Paris, June 26-30 2023 (fwd)
by Michele Gianfelice 07 Feb '23

07 Feb '23

Salve, ricevo e inoltro p.c.. Cordialmente, m.gianfelice ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Tue, 7 Feb 2023 16:20:43 +0100 From: Cyril ROBERTO <cyril.roberto(a)math.cnrs.fr> To: destinataires inconnus: ; Subject: Second announcement Summer School on "Khintchine's Inequality: old and,new", Paris, June 26-30 2023 Dear Colleague, You are cordially invited to participate in the Summer School at the Henri Poincaré Institute (IHP), Paris, June 26-30, 2023. We are pleased to inform you that Piotr Nayar and Krzysztof Oleszkiewicz (Warsaw University) will each give 10 hours of lectures on Khintchine's inequalities. To get more information about this Summer School, please go to the following web page: https://indico.math.cnrs.fr/event/8606/ Registration is free but mandatory. In order to register, go to the "registration" link. Note that the school may have some (limited) financial support for young people (PhD, postdocs). Financial support is up to approximately 500 euros. To ask for said support, please send an email to the organizers at khintchine.IHP.2023(a)outlook.fr Looking very much forward to seeing you in Paris, With all best wishes, The organizers (Ali Barki, James Melbourne and Cyril Roberto) P.S.: Please bring this Summer School to the attention of graduate students, postdocs and colleagues who may be interested. P.P.S.: Sorry for the multiple instances of the same message.

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Seminario a Napoli Prof. Leonenko
by Enrica Pirozzi 07 Feb '23

07 Feb '23

AVVISO di SEMINARIO Prof. Nikolai Leonenko School of Mathematics, Cardiff University, UK TITOLO Multiscaling, Intermittency and large deviation in limit theorems for superpositions of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes Abstract Superpositions of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type (supOU) processes provide a rich class of stationary stochastic processes for which the marginal distribution and the dependence structure may be modeled independently [1,2]. We investigate the limiting behavior of integrated supOU processes with finite variance[3,4,6] (see also [7] for multifaced behaviour of supOU processes in the case the infinite variance). We show that after suitable normalization four different limiting processes may arise. The type of limit depends on the decay of the correlation function as well as on the characteristic triplet of the marginal distribution. supOU processes, moreover, may exhibit intermittency, a phenomenon affecting the rate of growth of moments[3,4,5,6,8]. The intermittency phenomenon appears also in some other models, for example, in the subclass of ambit processes[2] known as trawl processes [5]. Joint work with D. Grahovac (Osijek University, Croatia) and M. Taqqu (Boston University, USA) References 1. Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E. and Leonenko, N.N., (2005), Spectral properties of superpositions of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes, Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 7, 335-352 2. Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E., Benth, F. E., Veraart, A. E.D.(2018) Ambit Stochastics, Springer. 3. Grahovac,D., Leonenko, N.,Sikorskii, A., Te?njak , I.(2016) Intermittency of superpositions of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes, Journal of Statistical Physics, 165, 390-408 4. Grahovac, D., Leonenko, N., Sikorskii, A. and Taqqu.M.S. (2019) The unusual properties of aggregated superpositions of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes, Bernoulli 25 (2019), no. 3, 2029?2050 5. Grahovac, D. and Leonenko, N and Taqqu, M.S.(2017) Intermittency of trawl processes, Statistic and Probability Letters, 137, 235 ? 242. 6. Grahovac, D. and Leonenko, N. and Taqqu, M.S.(2019) Limit theorems, scaling of moments and intermittency for integrated finite variance supOU processes, Stochastic Processes and Applications,129,N12,5113-5150 7. Grahovac, D. and Leonenko, N. and Taqqu, M.S.(2020) The multifaced behaviour of supOU processes: the infinite variance case, Journal of Theoretical Probability, 33, N4, 1801-1831 8. Grahovac, D. and Leonenko, N. and Taqqu, M.S. (2021) Intermittency and infinite variance: the case of integrated supOU processes, Electronic Journal of Probability, 26, art.n 56, 1-31 9. Grahovac, D. and Leonenko, N. and Taqqu, M.S. (2022) Intermittency and multiscaling in limit theorems, Fractals, 30, N 7, 2250137 *** Il seminario si terrà il giorno 10 Febbraio 2023 ore 11:00 nella Aula C del Dipartimento Matematica e Applicazioni, Università di Napoli FEDERICO II, Complesso di Monte Sant'Angelo, Via Cintia, Napoli. Link to Teams: https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3aMQ4RZDBo_0G-K_PHxKtktVYAczOG… -- Enrica Pirozzi Dipartimento di Matematica e Applicazioni Universita' di Napoli FEDERICO II Via Cintia, Monte S.Angelo, 80126, NAPOLI, ITALY Tel. 081 675634 https://www.docenti.unina.it/ENRICA.PIROZZI

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Next OWPS on February 15th: Frank den Hollander and Elena Pulvirenti
by Alberto Chiarini 07 Feb '23

07 Feb '23

The One World Probability Seminar is back! This Semester it will take place every other Wednesday form 15:00 to 17:00 UTC. You can find more information on the web site: https://www.owprobability.org/one-world-probability-seminar. OWPS's next session will be on Wednesday the 15th of February from 15:00 to 17:00 UTC. Our next speakers are: Frank den Hollander (Leiden) and Elena Pulvirenti (Delft) Title, abstract and the zoom link are below the signature and can be found on the website https://www.owprobability.org/one-world-probability-seminar. Best wishes, Alberto Chiarini (Padua) and Adrián González Casanova (Berkeley and México) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Speakers: Frank den Hollander (Leiden) and Elena Pulvirenti (Delft) Talk 1 : Metastability for the Widom-Rowlinson model: I. Planar discs. Abstract We define the static Widom-Rowlinson model on a two-dimensional finite torus. The energy of a particle configuration is determined by its halo, defined as the union of unit discs centred at the positions of the particles. We discuss the metastable behaviour of a dynamic version of the model, in which particles are randomly created and annihilated as if the outside of the torus were an infinite reservoir with a given chemical potential. We start with the empty torus and are interested in the first time when the torus is fully covered by unit discs. This can be viewed as the crossover time from a ‘gas phase’ to a ‘liquid phase’. We consider the metastable regime where the temperature is low and the chemical potential is supercritical. In order to achieve the transition from empty to full, the system needs to create a sufficiently large droplet, called critical droplet, which triggers the crossover. It turns out that the critical droplet is close to a disc of a certain deterministic radius, with a boundary that is random and consists of a large number of unit discs that stick out by a small distance. We show how an analysis of the surface fluctuations allows us to derive both a volume term and a surface term in the asymptotics of the average crossover time. Based on joint work with Sabine Jansen (Munich) and Roman Kotecký (Prague). Talk 2 : Metastability for the Widom-Rowlinson model: II. Grains of general shape. Abstract We investigate what happens when the planar discs are replaced by convex grains in arbitrary dimensions whose shape may be random. We identify the size and the shape of the critical droplet as a function of the shape distribution for the grains. We also identify the volume term in the asymptotics of the average crossover time. In addition, we speculate about the surface term, formulating a conjecture about what it should look like. There are various interesting subcases, showing that the shape of the grains has a rather delicate influence on the critical droplet and the average crossover time. Based on joint work with Yogesh Dhandapani (Bangalore) and Roman Kotecký (Prague). Zoom-link: https://unipd.zoom.us/j/89537602090?pwd=T0lETjRKaHk1R3FpWmNTbThxNTJQdz09 Meeting ID: 895 3760 2090 Passcode: 300934 If you are having trouble with zoom, or if the capacity of the zoom room gets exceeded, you can also access to the Youtube live stream at the channel of the seminar: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCiLiEQGTp6bZEhuHDM-WNWQ

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Call for expressions of interest in a position of Researcher (tenured) or Associate/Full Professor of Statistics, Economic Statistics, Social Statistics, Demography
by Alessandra Fabbri Colabich 06 Feb '23

06 Feb '23

The Department of Statistical Sciences of the University of Padova, www.stat.unipd.it, invites applications for one academic openings at the Researcher (Ricercatore Tenure Track), Associate Professor or Full Professor level. The applications might cover all the fields of interest for the Department, that is, the fields of Statistics (Statistica), Economic Statistics (Statistica Economica), Demography (Demografia) and Social Statistics (Statistica Sociale); a brief description of the research fields is available at https://www.stat.unipd.it/en/research/areas. Link: https://www.stat.unipd.it/en/call-expressions-interest-position-researcher-… -- Dott.ssa Alessandra Fabbri Colabich Università degli Studi di Padova Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche [image: Ottocento anni di libertà e futuro]

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Avvio di Workshop@DSS (Scienze Statistiche, Sapienza) | 16 Febbraio 2023
by Pierpaolo Brutti 06 Feb '23

06 Feb '23

Cari tutti, sono lieto di segnalare la 1ª edizione del workshop dipartimentale dal titolo “Metodi per la Conoscenza | Il Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche si presenta”, che si terrà Giovedì 16 Febbraio 2023 a partire dalle ore 9:30am, presso l’Aula Gini del Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche dell’Università di Roma “La Sapienza”. Il tono della giornata sarà prettamente divulgativo e potrà essere seguita anche in diretta streaming su Zoom all’indirizzo: https://uniroma1.zoom.us/j/96613351917 La partecipazione “live” è gratuita ma, per motivi organizzativi, è richiesta l’iscrizione compilando il seguente form: https://cutt.ly/WSDSSREG Infine, al termine di questa email troverete il programma dettagliato della giornata ma, per maggiori informazioni, vi invito a consultare la pagina dedicata: https://www.dss.uniroma1.it/it/wsdss1 —Pierpaolo Brutti + Il comitato organizzatore ================================================================== Dear all, I’m glad to announce the 1st edition of the departmental workshop entitled “Metodi per la Conoscenza | Il Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche si presenta”, that will take place on Thursday February 16 from 9:30am at Aula Gini Department of Statistics, University of Rome “La Sapienza”. The workshop will mostly be non-technical and live streamed also on Zoom at the following address: https://uniroma1.zoom.us/j/96613351917 Attendance (in person!) is free, but registration is required by filling in the following form: https://cutt.ly/WSDSSREG Finally, at the end of this email you will find the detailed program of the day but, for more information, please consult the dedicated page: https://www.dss.uniroma1.it/it/wsdss1 Please spread the news! …look forward to see you in Rome! Best —Pierpaolo Brutti + The organizers ================================================================== Giovedì 16 Febbraio 2023 Aula Gini, Dip. di Scienze Statistiche, Sapienza Università di Roma (piano terra, edificio CU002) Workshop Dipartimentale - 1ª edizione Metodi per la Conoscenza | Il Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche si presenta .: S C H E D U L E :. • 09:30 | Marco Schaerf (Preside I3S), Saluti Istituzionali • 10:00 | Giovanna Jona Lasinio (Direttrice del DSS), Apertura Lavori • 10:20 | Fulvio De Santis e Valeria Sambucini, Contributi ai metodi bayesiani per disegno e analisi di prove cliniche • 10:40 | Susanna Levantesi, Strumenti avanzati per la valutazione del rischio in ambito attuariale • 11:00 | Maurizio Vichi, Clustering e riduzione dimensionale per dati complessi e loro applicazioni • 11:20 | Fiorenza Deriu, La Network Analysis nello studio delle reti di servizi • 11:40 | coffee break • 12:00 | Paolo Dell'Olmo e Lavinia Amorosi, Avanzamenti delle tecniche di risoluzione dei problemi di ottimizzazione e applicazioni • 12:20 | Giulia Rotundo e Giacomo Morelli, Metodi quantitativi per la misurazione e la gestione dei rischi in ambito finanziario • 12:40 | Carlo D’Ippoliti, Gestire la complessità in economia • 13:00 | break (pranzo, Aula 2) • 14:30 | Luca Tardella e Cristina Mollica, Ranking data uncertainty and its use with sports data • 14:50 | Filomena Maggino, Statistica e la sfida della complessità sociale • 15:10 | Luisa Beghin, Modelli aleatori della realtà • 15:30 | coffee break • 15:50 | Elisabetta Barbi, La rivoluzione demografica • 16:10 | Bernardo Maggi, Eurosystem stability: a stochastic dynamic optimization approach to public debt • 16:30 | Paolo Franciosa, Algoritmi e metodi efficienti per l'analisi e la gestione dei dati • 16:50 | Giovanna Jona Lasinio, Dal mare alle montagne: la statistica e la natura • 17:10 | Discussione aperta Iscrizione: https://cutt.ly/WSDSSREG Webpage: https://www.dss.uniroma1.it/it/wsdss1 Zoom: https://uniroma1.zoom.us/j/96613351917 Per Informazioni: pierpaolo.brutti(a)uniroma1.it

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Annuncio Seminario Sapienza - 9 Febbraio ore 16:00
by Lorenzo Taggi 05 Feb '23

05 Feb '23

Dipartimento di Matematica, Sapienza Università di Roma, Sala di Consiglio Giovedì 9 Febbraio 2023, ore 16:00 *Speaker:* Daniel Ueltschi, University of Warwick *Title*: Quantum spin chains, loop representations, dimerisation *Abstract:* In contrast to their classical counterparts, one-dimensional quantum spin systems are interesting, they have intriguing behaviour, and they are difficult to study. I will describe a family of systems with nearest-neighbour interactions and O(n) symmetry. Its ground state phase diagram is expected to have a rich structure. For large spins it is possible to prove the occurrence of dimerisation in an open domain. The proof involves a loop representation and the method of cluster expansions. This is joint work with Jakob Bjornberg, Peter Muhlbacher, and Bruno Nachtergaele.

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