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Nicos Georgiou in Rome: The tree-TASEP on Galton-Watson trees
by Enrico Scalas 12 May '25

12 May '25

Buonasera, ricordo il seminario di probabilità di Nicos Georgiou che si terrà giovedì prossimo al Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche di Sapienza alle ore 15:00. Riporto l'annuncio completo qui sotto. Grazie per l'attenzione e cordiali saluti, Enrico Scalas -- AVVISO DI SEMINARIO Il 15 maggio 2024 dalle ore 15, in aula 34 del Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche (DSS), Sapienza Università di Roma, nell'ambito dei Seminari di Probabilità del DSS, il Prof. Nicos Georgiou, University of Sussex, Regno Unito, terrà un seminario dal titolo -- The tree-TASEP on Galton-Watson trees Abstract: We define a totally asymmetric simple exclusion process on trees, where the particles enter the tree from a reservoir attached to the root. Particles can only jump following edges on the tree and only if they are jumping away from the root, to a non-occupied vertex. We are interested in two different aspects of this particle system. First we want to investigate the current of particles across a given generation at a specific time, when we start from an initially empty initial condition. Second, we would like to obtain some information about the current across a given ray. Both answers depend heavily on our choice of jump rates for the particles and the tree geometry and different regimes of behaviour will be presented during the talk. Our results rely on a crucial estimate of the time it takes for the trajectories of the first N particles to decouple in the tree. This is joint work with N. Gantert (TUM) and D. Schmid (Columbia) -- Tutte le persone interessate sono invitate a partecipare. Enrico Scalas

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Seminar Announcement at Sapienza University of Rome (Max Sauerbrey)
by Antonio Agresti 12 May '25

12 May '25

Dear Colleagues, With this, I would like to advertise the following talk by Max Sauerbrey (MPI Leipzig), which will be held at Sapienza University of Rome in "Sala di Consiglio" at *14:00* on *Tuesday*, *May 20th*. Kind regards, Antonio Agresti *Max Sauerbrey* (Max Planck Institute, Leipzig) *Title:* Solution theory for the stochastic thin film equation with spatially colored noise *Abstract:* We present recent results on the local in time well-posedness of stochastic thin-film equations driven by Gaussian noise, which is white in time and colored in space, with strictly positive initial data. After introducing the underlying model, we state the local well-posedness and instantaneous regularization result in any space dimension, including corresponding blow-up criteria. Then we comment on the one-dimensional situation in which global in time well-posedness can be obtained under consideration of intermolecular van der Waals forces between the fluid and the substrate. The talk is based on joint work with Antonio Agresti: https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.12652.

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IFCS 2026: International Federation of Classification Societies Conference - First announcement
by Francesca Greselin 12 May '25

12 May '25

Dear All, We are delighted to announce that the *International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS) Conference 2026* will take place in *Milan* , *Italy*, from *July 14 to 16, 2026*. The conference will be hosted by the *Department of Statistics and Quantitative Methods *at the* University of Milano-Bicocca*. The conference will feature plenary, invited, contributed, and poster sessions, tutorials, a data challenge, and vibrant social activities. *IFCS 2026* will offer a dynamic interdisciplinary environment for scholars and professionals across statistics, computer science, mathematics, data science, social sciences, and related fields. The conference will place special emphasis on topics including: - Analysis of complex and non-standard data (e.g., spatio-temporal, symbolic, compositional, network, and functional data). - Machine learning and deep learning approaches to classification and clustering. - Real-world applications across diverse scientific disciplines. Special issues in international journals and conference proceedings will be announced soon. We look forward to welcoming you to *Milan *- a city where rich history meets modern innovation at the crossroads of science, culture, and creativity! Best regards, Francesca Greselin On behalf of the Local Organizing Committee of IFCS 2026

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International Conference in Venice - CALL FOR PAPERS - Deadline May 31, 2025
by Monica Billio 11 May '25

11 May '25

24^th INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE *C**.r.e.d.i.t.**202**5* ** */Emerging Global Financial Systems:/* */Exploring Polarization, Systemic Risks, Innovation, and Sustainable Solutions/* Venice, Italy 25–26September2025 * * *GRETA Associati* (Venice, Italy), *European Datawarehouse* (Frankfurt, Germany),and *Intesa Sanpaolo *(Milan, Italy) are partners in organising a Conference to be held in Venice on September 25-26, 2025. The *CREDIT 2025* conference will bring together academics, practitioners and PhD students working in various areas of financial and socio-economic risk with the aim of creating a unique opportunity for participants to discuss research progress and policy as well as industry-relevant insights and directions for future research.. The CREDIT 2025 is the *twenty-fourth* in a series of events dedicated to various aspects of risk and organised under the auspices of: the *Department of Economics* and *VERA *- *Venice centre in Economic and Risk Analytics for public policies* - of the *Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Joint Research Center European Commission*, and *ABI - Italian Banking Association*. /Sustainability necessitates a global perspective, requiring the adaptation of contemporary business and societal models to navigate the dynamic landscape of the future. Policymakers and society must ensure that resources, particularly technology, are utilized responsibly and efficiently to enhance the well-being of both present and future generations while cultivating a harmonious relationship with the environment. This strategy is vital in addressing sustainability issues such as poverty, environmental degradation, pollution, and inequality. Effective global risk management is vital for bridging divisions and fragmentation through innovation./ The organizers encourage submissions on any topic within the overall theme of the conference and in the following areas in particular: *Framing Global Challenges* * *Macroeconomic Polarization and Financial Fragmentation* o Economic bifurcation between advanced and emerging markets. o Trade conflicts and their financial spillovers. o Policy responses to maintain global economic stability. * *Geopolitical Risks and Global Financial Stability* o Implications of geopolitical tensions on global financial markets: capital flows and volatility. o Risk management strategies for financial institutions navigating geopolitical uncertainty. o The role of national and international economic policies: shaping a new geopolitical and economic order. * *Technological Innovation in Finance and Insurance* o Digital transformation in the insurance sector: a driver of resilience or disruption? o Financing Deep Tech. o Regulating innovation to balance opportunity and risk. *Risk Management and Resilience* * *Climate Change as a Systemic Risk* o Impact of climate-induced events on financial and insurance markets. o Climate risk modeling and its implications for global governance. o Financing the green transition: opportunities for insurers and institutional investors. * *Addressing Socioeconomic Disparities* o Polarization in wealth distribution and its implications for insurance coverage. o Designing inclusive financial products to address underinsurance in vulnerable populations. o The role of insurance in enhancing societal resilience to systemic shocks. *Towards a Sustainable Future* * *Innovating Governance for Future Risks* o Cross-border cooperation for risk regulation and mitigation. o Addressing new risks in cyber security, health crises, and technological disruptions. o Innovative governance models in finance and insurance. The final program will include both submitted and invited papers. Acceptances received so far from invited speakers include *Mario Greco* (Zurich Insurance Group, Zurich) and *Andrew Lo* (MIT Sloan School of Management). The Conference will also include panel discussions on the major issues at stake with the views of researchers', practitioners' and policy makers. he SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE for the Conference consists of: *Andrew Lo* (MIT Sloan School of Management, Programme Chair)* Monica Billio* (Ca’ Foscari University of Venice & GRETA)* Lucia Alessi* (Joint Research Center, European Commission)* Marie Brière* (AMUNDI & Université Libre de Bruxelles)* Mila Getmansky Sherman* (Isenberg School of Management, UMass Amherst)* Marcin Kacperczyk* (Imperial College London)* Jan Pieter Krahnen* (Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE & Goethe University, Frankfurt)* Steven Ongena* (University of Zurich, Swiss Finance Institute, KU Leuven, NTNU Business School & CEPR)* Loriana Pelizzon* (Ca’ Foscari University of Venice & Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE)* Roberto Rigobon* (MIT Sloan School of Management)* Stephen Schaefer* (London Business School)* Marti Subrahmanyam* (NYU Stern Business School)* * *CALL FOR PAPERS* Those wishing to present a paper at the Conference should submit by *May 31, 2025* to the address given below (preferably in electronic format). Please indicate to whom correspondence should be addressed. Decisions regarding acceptance will be made by *June 30, 2025*. The final version of accepted papers must be received by August 31, 2025. Please send papers to: GRETA Associati GRETA, Dorsoduro 3707, 30123, Venice, Italy Phone : +39 349 060 3656 e-mail: credit(a)greta.it <mailto:credit@greta.it> *IMPORTANT DATES* *May 31, 2025*: Papers submission deadline *June 30, 2025*: Paper acceptance notification *August 31, 2025*: Deadline for sending final version of accepted papers More detailed information on the Conference website: https://www.greta.it/index.php/it/credit-2025 <https://www.greta.it/index.php/it/credit-2025> <https://www.greta.it/index.php/it/credit-2021> <https://www.greta.it/index.php/it/credit-2021> *** Please accept our apologies for any crossed e-mails. ** Probably you are in our mailing list from very long time because you collaborated with us or with our associates, you asked to be informed about our activities, you attended our conferences or you submitted papers to our call for papers. If you would like to continue enjoying the benefits of keeping up to date with our future events, invitations, and developments, you do not need to do anything. If you would prefer to no longer receive communications from us, please send an email with Subject "Cancel from Mailing List" to credit(a)greta.it <mailto:credid@greta.it> -- -- Monica Billio Dipartimento di Economia, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia Fondamenta San Giobbe 873, 30121 Venezia Tel +39 041 2349170, Fax +39 041 2349176 E-mailbillio(a)unive.it http://www.unive.it/persone/billio http://ideas.repec.org/e/pbi55.html http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=303041 http://scholar.google.it/citations?user=ll83_twAAAAJ&hl=en

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YEPXX | 23-27 June | final announcement
by Simone Baldassarri 11 May '25

11 May '25

Dear colleagues, This is the final announcement for the 20th edition of the Young European Probabilists (YEP) workshop *Interacting Particle Systems on Random Structures, *which will take place on *23-27 June, 2025* in *EURANDOM* at Eindhoven University of Technology. Please visit the website of the event YEPXX | Interacting Particle Systems on Random Structures <https://www.eurandom.tue.nl/event/yepxx-interacting-particle-systems-on-ran…> for further information about the list of the speakers, the schedule and the abstract of the talks. Young researchers are encouraged to participate and contribute with a short talk or a poster by submitting their proposals through the registration form. They can also apply for financial support. If you want to apply for this, please send an email to *eurandom.office(a)tue.nl <eurandom.office(a)tue.nl> *with a brief motivation. The deadline for both contributions and financial support applications is *May 25.* We would be grateful if you could circulate the announcement among potentially interested researchers. Please feel free to contact us for any additional information. Looking forward to meeting you in Eindhoven! The organizing committee, Simone Baldassarri, Remco van der Hofstad, Vanessa Jacquier, Matthias Löwe

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Avviso di Seminario: Prof. Kei Kobayashi
by luigia.caputo 10 May '25

10 May '25

Il giorno 13 maggio 2025, alle ore 11:30, in SP2L, aula S. Rionero, del Dipartimento di Matematica e Applicazioni R. Caccioppoli dell'Università degli Studi di Napoli Federico II, il Prof. Kei Kobayashi, Department of Mathematics, Fordham University, terrà il seguente seminario: "_Numerical approximation of stochastic di__ﬀ__erential equations modeling subdi__ﬀ__usion"_ Abstract: Standard Brownian motion composed with a random time change given by an inverse subordinator has been used to model subdiﬀusions, where particles spread more slowly than the classical Brownian particles. The time-changed Brownian motion is neither Markovian nor Gaussian, and standard procedures known for normal diﬀusions do not generally work. This talk gives an overview of the framework of numerical approximation schemes for the time-changed Brownian motion and its associated stochastic diﬀerential equations, along with the rates of convergence. This is based on joint work with Sixian Jin and Ernest Jum. https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3aMQ4RZDBo_0G-K_PHxKtktVYAczOG… Cordiali saluti, Luigia Caputo -- Luigia Caputo, PhD Ricercatore Universitario di Probabilità e Statistica Matematica, Dipartimento di Matematica e Applicazioni, Università di Napoli FEDERICO II Via Cintia, 80126, NAPOLI https://www.docenti.unina.it/luigia.caputo

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8 PhD positions in Berlin-Oxford research training group on Stochastic Analysis
by Fabio Bugini 09 May '25

09 May '25

Cari colleghi, The Berlin-Oxford International Research Training Group (IRTG) 2544 “Stochastic Analysis in Interaction” offers 8 PhD positions (75% TVL E 13, ~2200 EUR net salary per month) for 3 years starting October 1st, 2025. The IRTG is a joint research initiative of the stochastic analysis group of FU, HU, TU and WIAS Berlin with its counterpart at the University of Oxford. The advertised positions will be based in Berlin and will offer ample opportunities to interact also with members of the Oxford team, most notably in a 6-months exchange. Embedded in a truly international environment, the IRTG students will get excellent research training in a structured programme focussing on challenges at the mathematical foundations of Stochastic Analysis as well as on challenges arising from its various applications, e.g., in physics, biology, finance or data science. The combined expertise from the Berlin and Oxford groups will provide a significant breadth in depth and fertile ground for our students' ambitious research ideas. Successful candidates will have an MSc degree (or equivalent) in Mathematics (or a closely related field), strong knowledge of stochastic analysis, and feel eager to engage in the exchange of ideas with the teams in both Berlin and Oxford. DEADLINE FOR APPLICATIONS IS MAY 25, 2025. Please see https://www.jobs.tu-berlin.de/en/job-postings/193504 for the official job ad and for instructions how to apply. Our IRTG webpage www.math.tu-berlin.de/irtg offers more information on the Berlin-Oxford IRTG 2544. Cordiali saluti, Fabio Bugini

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Cancellazione seminario//12 maggio//Andrea Rinaldo
by Faggionato, Alessandra 09 May '25

09 May '25

Buongiorno purtroppo il seminario di Andrea Rinaldo per Matematica, Scienza e Società previsto per lunedì 12 maggio presso il Dipartimento di Matematica G. Castelnuovo di Sapienza Università di Roma è stato annullato. Saluti Alessandra -- ************************************************* Prof. Alessandra Faggionato https://www1.mat.uniroma1.it/people/faggionato/ Department of Mathematics University "La Sapienza" Piazzale Aldo Moro, 5 00185 - Rome Office 123, first floor *************************************************

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Seminario di Zongchen Chen a Roma Tre il 15 maggio alle 14:30
by Pietro Caputo 08 May '25

08 May '25

Giovedì 15 maggio alle ore 14.30 Zongchen Chen (Georgia Institute of Technology) terrà il seminario Title: *Counting Random k-SAT Near the Satisfiability Threshold*. Abstract: We present efficient counting and sampling algorithms for random k-SAT when the clause density is at most 2^k/poly(k). In particular, the exponential term 2^k matches the satisfiability threshold O(2^k) for the existence of a solution and the (conjectured) algorithmic threshold 2^k (\ln k)/k for efficiently finding a solution. At the heart of our approach is a refined analysis of the recent novel coupling procedure introduced by Wang and Yin. Our new analysis utilizes the structural properties of random constraint satisfaction problems (CSPs). It provides a universal framework for efficient counting and sampling for random atomic CSPs, including, for example, random hypergraph colorings. At the same time, we obtain as immediate corollaries several important probabilistic properties of random CSPs that have been widely studied but rarely justified, including replica symmetry and non-reconstruction. Joint work with Aditya Lonkar, Chunyang Wang, Kuan Yang, and Yitong Yin. Il seminario si svolgerà presso il Dipartimento di Matematica e Fisica di Roma Tre, Via della Vasca Navale 84, Aula A. -- Pietro Caputo Dipartimento di Matematica e Fisica via della vasca navale 84, 00146 Roma, Italy. www.mat.uniroma3.it/users/caputo

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Call for Papers: Special Issue on "Bayesian Networks: Parameter and Structure Learning with Their Real-World Applications for Decision Making" - Mathematics
by Marta Pittavino 08 May '25

08 May '25

*Call for Papers* *Special Issue on “Bayesian Networks: Parameter and Structure Learning with Their Real-World Applications for Decision Making”* *A special issue of Mathematics (ISSN 2227-7390), Section D1: Probability and Statistics* *Guest Editor:* Dr. Marta Pittavino (Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venice School of Management, Italy) Dear Colleagues, I am delighted to invite you to contribute to this Special Issue of *Mathematics*, dedicated to *“Bayesian Networks: Parameter and Structure Learning with Their Real-World Applications for Decision Making.”* This issue aims to showcase cutting-edge research and methodological innovations in the increasingly relevant domain of Bayesian Networks, with a particular focus on parameter learning, model fitting, and real-world decision-making applications. We welcome contributions on a wide range of topics, including (but not limited to) additive and dynamic Bayesian Networks, prior distribution choices for parameter estimation, score functions, and the factorization of joint probabilities. Special emphasis will be placed on empirical applications and case studies that demonstrate the impact of Bayesian approaches on practical decision-making. Our goal is to foster a vibrant interdisciplinary dialogue, bringing together researchers from academia and industry to explore new challenges and solutions in this evolving field. We warmly encourage you to submit your latest findings and insights, helping to expand the frontiers of knowledge in Bayesian modeling and decision sciences. We hope this Special Issue will become a valuable reference point for scholars and practitioners alike. Looking forward to your contributions and to a stimulating exchange of ideas! Warm regards, Dr. Marta Pittavino *Guest Editor* *Keywords* - Additive Bayesian networks - Dynamic Bayesian networks - Decision sciences - Choice of the prior distribution - Factorization of the joint probability - Score functions Information on how to submit the paper is available here <https://www.mdpi.com/si/mathematics/1LH93RZ1T1>. *Deadline for the submissions: **10 September 2025*! -- *Marta Pittavino* *Tenure-Track **Assistant Professor of Statistics (RTD-B)* Campus Economico San Giobbe Cannaregio 873 30121 Venezia T. +39 041 234 8755 W. www.veniceschoolofmanagement.it *Last publication: Kinlessness at older ages: Prevalence and heterogeneity in 27 countries <https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/geronb/gbae180>* LinkedIn page <https://www.linkedin.com/in/marta-pittavino-8668863a/>

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