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Sussex probability seminar
by Enrico Scalas 21 May '21

21 May '21

Care colleghe e colleghi, vi invio l'annuncio del seminario di William FitzGerald il 24 maggio a mezzogiorno. Le persone interessate possono ottenere il link contattando l'organizzatrice, Dr Minmin Wang (minmin.wang(a)sussex.ac.uk <https://fields.dm.unipi.it/listinfo/random>). Cordiali saluti, Enrico Scalas -- Dear all, Next Monday at 11am we’ll have the last Prob. Seminar of this semester. Will FitzGerald will speak about Random growth and random matrices This talk will focus on some connections between random growth models, directed polymers and random matrices. This is based on joint work with Jon Warren.

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Summer School in Trento (Italy) 30 August - 3 September 2021
by Luigi Amedeo Bianchi 21 May '21

21 May '21

The Stochastic Processes, Analysis and Semigroups Summer School will take place August 30 to September 3 2021 at the University of Trento (Italy). It is a one-week summer school for Master and PhD students and is co-organized by the Universities of Trento and Wuppertal. It will consist of four minicourses, delivered in a hybrid in-person/online mode: Introduction to the Large Deviations Theory (Mariem Abdellatif, Wuppertal) Asymptotics and ergodic properties of operator semigroups (Bálint Farkas, Wuppertal) SPDEs with multiple limiting distributions (Martin Friesen, Dublin City and Barbara Rüdiger, Wuppertal) Singular stochastic PDEs and renormalization of Anderson Hamiltonian (Baris Ugurcan, Wuppertal). The school is made possible by funding of the University of Trento, within the Department of Excellence project. There are limited resources available to partially cover local expenses of some of the participating students. For more information, visit the webpage of the school: https://sites.google.com/unitn.it/sstw/ Best regards, the organisers: Luigi Amedeo Bianchi (Trento) Stefano Bonaccorsi (Trento) Bálint Farkas (Wuppertal) Martin Friesen (Dublin City) Barbara Rüdiger (Wuppertal) Baris Ugurcan (Wuppertal)

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European Summer School on Learning in Games, Markets, and Online Decision Making
by Marco Scarsini 21 May '21

21 May '21

*European Summer School on Learning in Games, Markets, and Online Decision Making* *September 6-10, 2021* *Sapienza Università di Roma, Department of Computer, Control and Management Engineering, Antonio Ruberti* https://sites.google.com/a/diag.uniroma1.it/algadimar/summer-school The school will have a group of prestigious scholars giving tutorials and research seminars. Among them: Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi, José Correa, Michal Feldman, Renato Paes Leme, and Eva Tardos. The presence of all the speakers will be determined by the traveling constraints at the time of the school. Some of the speakers may have to take part in the school online. Partial support for local expenses and travel will be made available for at most 25 international students from COST countries <https://www.cost.eu/who-we-are/members/> by the COST GAMENET project. If you intend to attend the school, please fill out this form <https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1UK6ysgJZuJNEhNkIFSTS--Pr93i-Ij-ZGHZXfWegeS…> by June 15, 2021. For further information, please contact leonardi(a)diag.uniroma1.it. Please spread the word among your graduate students. The organizers Nicola Gatti, Stefano Leonardi, Marco Scarsini

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May 27-28: BISP12 - Twelfth Workshop on Bayesian Inference in Stochastic Processes
by elisa varini 20 May '21

20 May '21

We informyou that it is still possible to register (free of charge) for *BISP12 (Twelfth Workshop on Bayesian Inference in Stochastic Processes)* to be held on May 27 (13.55-18.35 CEST) and 28 (13.00-17.50 CEST). The website ishttps://bisp12.imati.cnr.it/ <https://bisp12.imati.cnr.it/> The event is organized by CNR – IMATI (Institute of Applied Mathematics and Information Technology at the Italian National Research Council), Milano, Italy: https://www.imati.cnr.it/ <https://www.imati.cnr.it/> We have 10 junior invited speakers and 10 more senior discussants (within parentheses): • Atilla Ay, USA (Melike Baykal-Gursoy, USA) • Clara Grazian, Australia (Maria Concepcion Ausin, Spain) • Andrew Holbrook, USA (Katja Ickstadt, Germany) • Kaoru Irie, Japan (Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter, Austria) • Roi Naveiro, Spain (Mike West, USA) • Giovanni Rebaudo , USA (Bernardo Nipoti, Italy) • Claudia Solis-Lemus, USA (Nicholas Polson, USA) • Stéphanie Van Der Pas, The Netherlands (Antonio Lijoi, Italy) • Andi Wang, UK (Giacomo Zanella, Italy) • Paul Wu, Australia (David Banks, USA) The titles of their (live) talks are available on the website. We have also many contributors who uploaded (or are uploading) a 20-minutes video at https://bisp12.imati.cnr.it/virtual_poster.php <https://bisp12.imati.cnr.it/virtual_poster.php>(accessible also in the near future) and will prepare a 5-minutes video to be broadcast during the conference. We invite to watch those videos and send comments to the authors. The entire event will be recorded and then uploaded in the BISP12 website. Best regards Elisa Varini and Fabrizio Ruggeri Chairs, Organising and Scientific Committees

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LTI@Unito webinar Andrea Modea (U. Bonn): “Recapitalization, Bailout, and Long-run Welfare in a Dynamic Model of Banking”| May 24, 2021 @12:45
by Luca Regis 20 May '21

20 May '21

Dear Colleagues, I am happy to share with you the following invitation to the Quantative Finance webinar organized by LTI@UniTO and Collegio Carlo Alberto, “Recapitalization, Bailout, and Long-run Welfare in a Dynamic Model of Banking” by Andrea Modena (University of Bonn), which will take place on Zoom on May 24, at 12.45. Below you find the Zoom link and an abstract of the presentation. Best regards, Luca Regis <#> <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/J7QJ4oN6YVj_zZsZOtARrIVf6c7Hmq99bS…> <#> LTI@Unito and Fondazione Collegio Carlo Alberto are pleased to invite you to the following workshop <#> *May 24, 2021 | 12:45 - 13:45* *“Recapitalization, Bailout, and Long-run Welfare in a Dynamic Model of Banking”* *Andrea Modena (University of Bonn, Università Ca’ Foscari Venezia) * <#> *Abstract. *We study the trade-off between the short-run costs and the long-run benefits of bank bailouts. In the model, banks leverage, thanks to their cost advantage at monitoring firms, but hold precautionary capital buffers to avoid costly equity issuance. Banks’ recapitalization is suboptimal because they do not internalize the externalities of the banking sector’s relative size on their individual leverage capacity and firms’ investments. Systematic bailouts can improve the allocation efficiency in bad states, in which banks’ leverage is persistently constrained and investments are low. In the long run, bailouts accelerate the economy’s recovery by fostering growth, thereby reducing endogenous risk. *Zoom link:* *https://us02web.zoom.us/j/83596624662?pwd=ZmlvenJSbGJVZjl4WTA0MnNMUXVlZz09* <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/s-qJVnhbS_zG1dfsi6qOu9mnfTxc8QKO7h…> Meeting ID: 835 9662 4662 Passcode: 056057 <#> <#> <#> <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/yuwpD8sTuPk6FHLiRKKpTMm-UjUyfN6wgb…> <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/VpUegKgodGXzBen7C44jhlkXkF9jhsSmmo…> <#> FONDAZIONE COLLEGIO CARLO ALBERTO Piazza Arbarello 8 - 10122 Torino, Italy phone: +390116705000 segreteria(a)carloalberto.org - www.carloalberto.org Facebook <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/cMWe7pVTdvfxQ1F14Ip-99gRFCuIRpXB8y…> Twitter <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/PBGBAvJh5x5DlI_7sK-JDvUzZNEYzjMddC…> LinkedIn <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/ODY9SQh8giPEbUl9tQNsfhNYuPH1kUrrxH…> Instagram <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/eSYLTqj79odIe23NOKQ9iD17xZiiWLxZpk…> Youtube <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/VHxNOf4LAHpDbLIqIRMcZ1IjxJ8vJMlt0R…> <#> *INFORMATION UNDER THE NEW GENERAL DATA PROTECTION REGULATION (GDPR)* Your personal information has been gathered for the exclusive purpose of informing you about the Collegio's initiatives, considering our and your legitimate interest or your consent. If you wish to have your personal data modified please contact Fondazione Collegio Carlo Alberto, piazza Arbarello 8, 1022 Torino, Italy - phone: +390116705000 - privacy(a)carloalberto.org *Unsubscribe* <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/un/pwqLm48bGIHoEgSNMJjK02XvcE2z7S4OYMkg…> <#> © 2021 Fondazione Collegio Carlo Alberto

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(PMS)^2 online talk: Alessandra Bianchi, Monday May 24 at 17.30
by Carlo Orrieri 19 May '21

19 May '21

Dear colleagues, We are happy to announce the following online talk: Speaker: Alessandra Bianchi (Università di Padova) Title: Limit Theorems for Exponential Random Graphs. Abstract: Exponential Random Graphs are defined through probabilistic ensembles with one or more adjustable parameters. They can be seen as a generalization of the classical Erdos Renyi random graph, obtained by defining a tilted probability measure that is proportional to the densities of certain given finite subgraphs. In this talk we will focus on the edge-triangle model, that is a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. Borrowing tools from statistical mechanics, together with large deviations techniques, we will characterize the limiting behavior of the edge density for all parameters in the so-called replica symmetric regime, where a complete characterization of the phase diagram of the model is accessible. First, we determine the asymptotic distribution of this quantity, as the graph size tends to infinity, in the various phases. Then we study the fluctuations of the edge density around its average value off the critical curve and formulate conjectures about the behavior at criticality based on the analysis of a mean-field approximation of the model. Joint work with Francesca Collet and Elena Magnanini. Date and time: Monday May 24, 17:30-18:30 (Rome time zone) Zoom link: https://us02web.zoom.us/j/81602205122?pwd=Wlk0SVZPRjY4UHFzR1c5RmJMekRCZz09 <https://us02web.zoom.us/j/81602205122?pwd=Wlk0SVZPRjY4UHFzR1c5RmJMekRCZz09> Meeting ID: 816 0220 5122 Passcode: d5v0SS This talk is the second of the (PMS)^2: Pavia-Milano Seminar series on Probability and Mathematical Statistics organized jointly by the universities Milano-Bicocca, Pavia, Milano-Politecnico and Milano-Statale. Participation is free and welcome! (though limited to 100 participants for technical reasons) Best regards The organizers (Mario Maurelli, Carlo Orrieri, Maurizia Rossi, Margherita Zanella)

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Fwd: [owps] talks May 20
by Faggionato, Alessandra 19 May '21

19 May '21

Buongiorno, inoltro l'annuncio del OWPS di domani per chi fosse interessato. Grazie dell'attenzione Saluti Alessandra ---------- Forwarded message --------- Da: One World Probability <ow.probability(a)gmail.com> Date: mer 19 mag 2021 alle ore 08:03 Subject: [owps] talks May 20 To: <owps(a)lists.bath.ac.uk> Dear All, we have two talks tomorrow. Remember that we start 14:00 UTC which is 16:00 CET! 14:00-15:00 UTC Pascal MaillardBranching particle systems and front propagation I will review some recent results (some in progress) on extremes of branching particle systems as models of front propagation. The main theme will be asymptotic results about speed and fluctuations. The talk will be based on joint work with various subsets of the following people : Gaël Raoul, Michel Pain, Sarah Penington, Jason Schweinsberg, Julie Tourniaire. 15:00 - 16:00 UTC Sarah Penington Brownian bees in the infinite swarm limit Consider a system of N particles moving according to Brownian motions and branching at rate one. Each time a particle branches, the particle in the system furthest from the origin is killed. I will discuss the large N and large time behaviour of the system, which is related to solutions of a novel non-linear free boundary partial differential equation. Based on joint work with Julien Berestycki, Éric Brunet and Jim Nolen. The Zoom link is on the OWPS webpage. It can also be accessed directly via https://tum-conf.zoom.us/j/67314174274 <https://eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftum-conf.…> Meeting-ID: 673 1417 4274 Password: 532590 Best wishes, Julien and Nina -- ************************************************* Prof. Alessandra Faggionato http://www1.mat.uniroma1.it/~faggionato/ Department of Mathematics University "La Sapienza" Piazzale Aldo Moro, 5 00185 - Rome Office 5, Phone (0039) 06 49913252 *************************************************

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open rank positions at Lund University (all fields)
by Carina Geldhauser 18 May '21

18 May '21

The Centre for Mathematical Sciences at Lund University seeks expressions of interest for several research group leaders (open rank). We are looking for internationally /strong/ scholars in any field of mathematics, with 5-12 years of research experience after PhD, currently working outside Sweden. Group leaders will bring in their unique research programme and expertise, whilst integrating and enhancing existing strengths at the Centre. Your research vision and future plans will be at the core of Lund University's bid for a very generous sponsorship from the Knut and Alice Wallenberg foundation, which will fund your research group for the first 5 years. Whilst your appointment will be permanent, we expect you to fund your staff members through external grants after the initial funding period. Lund University offers a competitive salary, attractive employer benefits and family-friendly working hours. We are committed to increase the diversity in our department and especially welcome proposals from scholars of underrepresented gender. Interested? Then send your CV and research group vision to erik.lindstrom(a)matstat.lu.se <mailto:erik.lindstrom@matstat.lu.se> by May 24th. We intend to invite interesting candidates to a virtual seminar talk and campus visit in /early/ June. More information about the hiring process will be given at this occasion.

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4-yearPhD program in MODELING AND ENGINEERING RISK AND COMPLEXITY
by Tiziano De Angelis 17 May '21

17 May '21

Dear all, Please find below information concerning an interdisciplinary 4-year PhD programme that may be of interest to applied probabilists. Best wishes Tiziano *----------------------------* *4-year PhD program in MODELING AND ENGINEERING RISK AND COMPLEXITY (MERC) at SSM, a new School for Advanced Studies of the University of Naples "Federico II"- ITALY* >From epidemics phenomena, climate change and sustainable cities to seismic engineering and Industry 4.0, all the crucial challenges facing mankind today require the development of new methodological approaches to understand, model and engineer ever-growing reliable interdependent, complex and interconnected systems and infrastructures. This PhD program is aimed at ambitious young scientists and engineers who wish to work on these crucial challenging problems with high impact in society in a new, *strongly-interdisciplinary *and inter-sectorial way. The Call for Applications for the 4 year PhD Program in Modeling and Engineering Risk and Complexity (*MERC*) of the Scuola Superiore Meridionale (*SSM* is a School for Advanced Studies in Naples) is now out and available at http://www.ssm.unina.it/en/phd-scholarships-calls-and-procedures/ We are looking for bright and ambitious students from any area of Mathematics, Physics, Science and Engineering to join this exciting PhD program. *6 fully funded 4-year scholarships are available this year* Each scholarship includes a stipend of EUR 19,000 (net) per year which is increased by 50% when the student is spending time abroad. Students are expected to spend at least 9-12 months abroad during their PhD. Each Scholarship also includes approx EUR 4,000 for research costs/travel per year. Applicants must submit a brief scientific report (description of their MSc thesis work, CV, personal statement and reference letters) following the instructions provided at the website above *by* *no later than July 1st 2021.* Successful candidates will be announced by the end of July 2021 with courses officially starting on November 2, 2021. For any further information contact the PhD Coordinator, Prof Mario di Bernardo, at merc(a)unina.it or check out the PhD website at: http://www.ssm.unina.it/en/modeling-and-engineering-risk-eng-and-complexity…

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Webinar in Statistics PAUL JENKINS
by Pierpaolo De Blasi 17 May '21

17 May '21

WEBINARS IN STATISTICS @ COLLEGIO CARLO ALBERTO <https://www.carloalberto.org/events/category/seminars/seminars-in-statistic…> Venerdi 21 Maggio 2021, alle ore 12.00, si terrà il seguente webinar: ------------------------------------------------ Speaker: *Paul Jenkins *(University of Warwick) Title: *Asymptotic genealogies of interacting particle systems* Join Zoom Meeting https://us02web.zoom.us/j/87319216872?pwd=L1JnR0UvamZ2RC9Eb2xFbW9qREN0Zz09 Meeting ID: 873 1921 6872 Passcode: 626226 Abstract: Interacting particle systems are a broad class of stochastic models for phenomena arising in physics, engineering, biology, and finance. A prominent class of such models can be expressed as a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm in which the aim is to construct an empirical approximation to a sequence of measures. The approximation is constructed by evolving a discrete-time, weighted population of particles, alternating between a Markov update and a resampling step. Resampling gives rise to a notion of a genealogy in which duplicated particles are regarded as offspring of their parents. In this talk I discuss how to characterise the genealogy underlying this evolving particle system. More precisely, under certain conditions we can show that the genealogy converges (as the number of particles grows) to Kingman's coalescent, a stochastic tree-valued process widely studied in population genetics. This makes explicit the analogy between sequential Monte Carlo and an evolving biological population. This is joint work with Suzie Brown, Adam Johansen, Jere Koskela, and Dario Spanò. ------------------------------------------------ Il webinar è organizzato dalla "de Castro" Statistics Initiative www.carloalberto.org/stats Cordiali saluti, Pierpaolo De Blasi --- University of Torino & Collegio Carlo Alberto carloalberto.org/pdeblasi <https://sites.google.com/a/carloalberto.org/pdeblasi/>

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