Random December 2014

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seminario il 19 Dicembre al CNR-IMATI
by Antonella Bodini 04 Dec '14

04 Dec '14

Venerdi 19 dicembre, alle ore 11, presso la sede di Milano dell'IMATI Via Bassini 15, nella Sala Pentagonale al secondo piano, *Ting Wang* (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Otago, New Zealand) presentera' un seminario dal titolo Modelling of seismic activity using Markov-modulated Hawkes process and its extensions. Abstract: Earthquakes are processes in which the internal workings are only observed indirectly, although the final effects are all too observable! Hidden Markov models (HMMs, a general statistical framework for modelling partially observed systems) are an intuitively attractive idea for analysing seismicity. I will introduce the Markov-modulated Hawkes process that we developed for investigating long-term patterns in seismicity rate. The catalogue of the Landers earthquake sequence, which included multiple mainshocks, was used as a case study. I will show how this model captures the cyclic parent-generating-offspring feature of the temporal behaviour of earthquakes. I will also discuss our current work on extending this temporal model by including spatial variation of the seismic activity and the earthquake magnitude. Our aim is to categorize spatiotemporal seismic hazards holistically, using the entire earthquake record in a selected region to identify patterns correlated with subsequent large earthquakes, rather than the traditional way of hunting for individual foreshocks. Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare. Cordiali saluti, Antonella. -- Dott. Antonella Bodini CNR-Istituto di Matematica Applicata e Tecnologie Informatiche Via Bassini 15, 20133 Milano (Italy) tel +39 02 23699524 fax +39 02 23699538 http://www.mi.imati.cnr.it/~anto/

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Seminari al Collegio Carlo Alberto
by Matteo Ruggiero 02 Dec '14

02 Dec '14

**************************************************************** STATISTICS SEMINARS @ COLLEGIO CARLO ALBERTO **************************************************************** Nei giorni 10 e 11 Dicembre 2014, presso la sala rossa del Collegio Carlo Alberto, Moncalieri (TO), si terranno i seguenti seminari: 10 Dicembre, h 11.00 James SCOTT (University of Texas at Austin) FALSE DISCOVERY RATE SMOOTHING — 10 Dicembre, h 12.00 Taeryon CHOI (Korea University) GENERALIZED PARTIALLY ADDITIVE BAYESIAN SPECTRAL ANALYSIS REGRESSION MODELS — 11 Dicembre, h 11.00 Jaeyong LEE (Seoul National University) DEPENDENT SPECIES SAMPLING MODELS — 11 Dicembre, h 12.00 Luis Enrique NIETO-BARAJAS (ITAM, México) SPATIAL GAMMA PROCESSES IN DISEASE MAPPING Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare. I seminari sono organizzati dalla "de Castro" Statistics Initiative (http://www.carloalberto.org/stats) in collaborazione con il Collegio Carlo Alberto. Cordiali saluti, Matteo Ruggiero --- Matteo Ruggiero University of Torino and Collegio Carlo Alberto http://sites.carloalberto.org/ruggiero

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Avviso di seminario :: Colubi@DSS (Scienze Statistiche, Sapienza)
by Pierpaolo Brutti 02 Dec '14

02 Dec '14

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- A v v i s o d i S e m i n a r i o ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mercoledì 10 Dicembre, ore 11am ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Stanza 34 Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche Sapienza Università di Roma ANA COLUBI (Università di Oviedo) terrà un seminario dal titolo ON THE TRIMMED MEAN IN HILBERT SPACES: APPLICATIONS TO FUZZY AND FUNCTIONAL DATA tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Maggiori informazioni sui seminari presso il DSS sono consultabili a quest'indirizzo: http://goo.gl/Y6OQYm Saluti Pierpaolo Brutti --- ABSTRACT Numerous experimental studies involve semi-quantitative expert information, or measured in a non-precise way, which can be modeled with interval (fluctuations, grouped data, etc.) or fuzzy (ratings, opinions, perceptions etc.) data. A general framework to analyze these kinds of inexact data with statistical tools developed for Hilbertian random variables will be presented. Robust estimation in Hilbert spaces is specially relevant for its applications in the treatment of contaminated functional data. Specifically, the trimmed mean was already defined and analyzed under ideal conditions. However its estimation has not been efficiently implemented. An algorithm to compute the sample trimmed mean in Hilbert spaces is presented and its robust properties are briefly discussed. To show the performance of the algorithm some case studies concerning functional and fuzzy data will be presented.

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seminario GALERNE
by Elena Villa 01 Dec '14

01 Dec '14

Con preghiera di diffusione tra tutti i possibili interessati, scusandomi per invii multipli. ******************************************* A v v i s o d i S e m i n a r i o ******************************************* *Giovedì 18 Dicembre*,*ore 11:00* Aula Dottorato, Dipartimento di Matematica, Universita' degli Studi di Milano via C. Saldini 50, Milano *BRUNO GALERNE* (MAP5, Université Paris Descartes) terrà un seminario dal titolo *Random Fields of Bounded Variation and Computation of their Variation Intensity* ABSTRACT: The purpose of this talk is to define and characterize random fields of bounded variation, that is random fields with sample paths in the space of functions of bounded variation, and to study their mean total variation. We will mainly focus on the mean variation of random fields with stationary increments. We will show that this mean variation is proportional to the Lebesgue measure, and an expression of the constant of proportionality, called the variation intensity, will be established. This expression shows in particular that the variation intensity only depends on the family of two-dimensional distributions of the stationary increment random field. When restricting to random sets, the obtained results give generalizations of well-known formulas from stochastic geometry and mathematical morphology. The interest of these general results will be illustrated by computing the variation intensities of several classical stationary random field and random set models, namely Gaussian random fields and excursion sets, Poisson shot noises, Boolean models, dead leaves models, and random tessellations. Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare. Saluti Elena Villa -- ******************************************* Elena Villa Dipartimento di Matematica, Universita' degli Studi di Milano via C.Saldini 50, 20133 Milano, Italy Phone: +39 0250316132 - Fax: +39 0250316090 Web-page: http://users.mat.unimi.it/~villa

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de Finetti risk seminar - december 2014
by Emanuela Rosazza 01 Dec '14

01 Dec '14

On behalf of the Scientific Committee of the de Finetti Risk Seminars, we are glad to invite you to participate at the following Lecture ADVERSARIAL RISK ANALYSIS: CONCEPTS, METHODS AND APPLICATIONS David Rios Insua ICMAT-CSIC LOCATION: The seminar will be held on Wednesday, December 3, at 18.00 at room 3-E4-SR03, Bocconi University, Via Rontgen 1, 3rd floor, Milano. A refreshment will be offered at 17.30. Scientific Committee: Prof. Marco Frittelli (Univ. degli Studi di Milano) Prof. Fabio Maccheroni (Univ. Bocconi) Prof. Massimo Marinacci (Univ. Bocconi) Prof. Emanuela Rosazza Gianin (Univ. Milano-Bicocca) Dott. Simone Cerreia-Voglio (Univ. Bocconi) Dott. Marco Maggis (Univ. degli Studi di Milano) **************************************************** Emanuela Rosazza Gianin Dipartimento di Metodi Quantitativi per le Scienze Economiche ed Aziendali Università di Milano Bicocca Edificio U7 – 4° Piano Via Bicocca degli Arcimboldi, 8 20126 Milano Tel. 02 64483208 Fax. 02 64483105 e-mail: emanuela.rosazza1(a)unimib.it *****************************************************

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