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Bayesian Methods in Economics and Finance -- Summer School (25 - 29 August 2025, Venice)
by Roberto CASARIN 05 May '25

05 May '25

Dear Colleagues, The *Italian Econometric Association* (SIdE-IEA, https://www.side-iea.it/) in collaboration with the *Venice Centre in Economic and Risk Analytics for Public Policies* (VERA, https://www.unive.it/vera) at the Department of Economics, organizes the course for PhD students in: Bayesian Methods in Economics and Finance, 25 - 29 August 2025, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia https://www.side-iea.it/events/courses/bayesian-methods-economics-and-finan… The summer school aims to introduce participants to Bayesian Inference, starting with first principles and covering topics of interest to applied econometricians in economics and finance. The course is addressed to students without previous knowledge of Bayesian Statistics and Econometrics. The methods introduced in the lectures will be illustrated with hands-on applications in MATLAB and R based on reasoned statistical and economic examples. *Participation*: Online or in person *Application Deadline*: 18th May *Coordinator*Gaetano Carmeci <https://www.units.it/persone/index.php/from/abook/persona/4715>, University of Trieste *Lecturers* Gaetano Carmeci <https://www.units.it/persone/index.php/from/abook/persona/4715>, University of Trieste Roberto Casarin <https://www.unive.it/data/persone/5589863>, University of Venice, Italy Ca' Foscari Matteo Ciccarelli <https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/research/authors/profiles/matteo-ciccarelli.e…>, European Central Bank, DG Economics, Head of Forecasting and Policy Modelling Division Federico Bassetti <https://www4.ceda.polimi.it/manifesti/manifesti/controller/ricerche/Ricerca…>, Politecnico di Milano *Requirements* Intermediate knowledge of statistical inference (Note that preliminary knowledge of Bayesian inference is not required) Best Regards Roberto Casarin -- Roberto Casarin, PhD Professor of Econometrics Ca' Foscari University of Venice San Giobbe 873/b - 30121 Venezia, Italy http://sites.google.com/view/robertocasarin/ https://www.unive.it/vera <https://www.unive.it/isba2024> https://www.unive.it/isba2024

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Seminario PRISMA lunedì 5 maggio 2025 - C. Orrieri & L. Scarpa
by Sonia Mazzucchi 05 May '25

05 May '25

Buongiorno, ricordiamo a tutti gli interessati che oggi lunedì 5 maggio dalle 16 alle 17:17 si svolgerà il periodico seminario online del gruppo UMI-PRISMA. I seminari PRISMA hanno un formato di "colloquium" per creare un'occasione di scambio e discussione con tutta la comunità dei probabilisti e statistici italiani. Ogni giornata comprende due relatori che tengono due seminari di 30 minuti strettamente connessi, per presentare alla comunità una prospettiva sul proprio ambito di ricerca. Da quest'anno le registrazioni dei seminari vengono pubblicate sul canale YouTube dell'UMI: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLmySpc-jrtAMq84VH71evyqPc1hl6eEQb I relatori di oggi pomeriggio saranno Carlo Orrieri (Università di Pavia) e Luca Scarpa (Politecnico di Milano) che parleranno di: Equazioni stocastiche doppiamente nonlineari e relativi problemi di regolarizzazione per rumore con il seguente orario: 16:00 Primo seminario 16:30 Pausa e discussione 16:45 Secondo seminario 17:15 Conclusione e discussione Trovate di seguito il riassunto. I seminari verranno trasmessi via Zoom al seguente link: https://unitn.zoom.us/j/88514293418 <https://www.google.com/url?q=https://unitn.zoom.us/j/88514293418&sa=D&sourc…> ID riunione: 885 1429 3418 Codice d’accesso: 236100 Vi aspettiamo numerosi! Alberto Chiarini e Sonia Mazzucchi %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% RELATORI: Carlo Orrieri (Università di Pavia) e Luca Scarpa (Politecnico di Milano) TITOLO: Equazioni stocastiche doppiamente nonlineari e relativi problemi di regolarizzazione per rumore RIASSUNTO: Nella prima parte del seminario verranno introdotte alcune classi di equazioni di evoluzione in relazione alla modellizzazione di problemi di transizione di fase. Dal punto di vista matematico tali equazioni sono caratterizzate da una dinamica doppiamente nonlineare che tipicamente non ne assicura la buona positura. In particolare, l’unicità delle soluzioni viene a mancare. Questo motiva l’introduzione e l'analisi di opportune formulazioni stocastiche per tali modelli, nell’ottica di ottenere effetti di regolarizzazione per rumore. Nella seconda parte il problema di regolarizzazione per rumore verrà inquadrato nel contesto più generale di equazioni di evoluzione stocastiche con drift singolare e verranno presentati alcuni risultati di unicità. L'applicabilità di tali tecniche identificherà naturalmente un concetto di criticità che porrà le equazioni doppiamente nonlineari in un regime supercritico. Per queste verrà fornito infine un risultato parziale di stabilità per rumore. I risultati presentati nei seminari sono stati ottenuti in collaborazione con F. Bertacco (Imperial College London) e U. Stefanelli (Università di Vienna). %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%

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PhD course by Mathieu Rosenbaum in Verona "Recent developments in financial statistics for high frequency markets"
by Cecilia Mancini 04 May '25

04 May '25

It is an honor to announce that Professor Mathieu Rosenbaum, from the Polytechnic of Palaiseau, will teach the course Recent developments in financial statistics for high frequency markets for our doctoral students in Economics and Finance, track Mathematics and Data Analytics for Finance, at the University of Verona, campus Santa Marta, via Cantarane 24 The course is given in person, in English, and will be divided in 6 lessons of 3 hours each, from 29/4/2025 to 28/5/2025, as follows Tuesday 29/4/25: 3 pm-6 pm Wednesday 30/4/25: 9.15 am - 12:15 pm Tuesday 6/5/25: 3 pm-6 pm Wednesday 7/5/25: 9.15 am - 12:15 pm Tuesday 27/5/25: 3 pm-6 pm Wednesday 28/5/25: 9.15 am - 12:15 pm The initiative was possible thanks to the funding offered by INdAM (National Institute of Higher Mathematics, based in Rome) PROGRAM OF THE COURSE Introduction of various recent statistical tools which are nowadays essential when working on electronic markets. In particular, optimal high frequency trading and hedging, limit order book modelling, optimal tactics and statistical arbitrage were considered. We also addressed several regulation questions occurring at the microstructure level and made links with the recent literature on rough volatility. 1- Introduction to high frequency markets 2- Optimal trading 3- High frequency statistics 4- Limit order book modelling 5- Regulatory issues 6- From microstructure to market impact and rough volatility All the interested people are warmly invited to participate

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seminar - Roberto Ghiselli Ricci
by Sabrina Mulinacci 02 May '25

02 May '25

Dear all, I am glad to announce and invite you to the following seminar Statistics Seminars 2024/2025 Thursday May 8th, 2025 at 14.30 Room IV in Via Belle Arti, 41, Department of Statistics, University of Bologna or online on Microsoft Teams (here below you can find the link) “A world of copulas” Prof. Roberto Ghiselli Ricci (Università Ca‘ Foscari Venezia) Abstract A journey into the most outstanding family of aggregation functions given by the Copulas. They are particularly intriguing, because, on the one hand, they offer a theoretically fertile field of study with deep connections with different branches of mathematics such as Differential Calculus and even Group Theory, and, on the other hand, as consequence of the seminal Sklar's Theorem (1969), they are an essential tool for building refined stochastic models able to satisfy properties required by real problems. Best Regards Sabrina Mulinacci ________________________________________________________________________________ Microsoft Teams Serve aiuto?<https://aka.ms/JoinTeamsMeeting?omkt=it-IT> Partecipa alla riunione ora<https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3ameeting_OWQyYjdiNGItOGEwMi00…> ID riunione: 396 589 226 763 9 Passcode: Wc9Nc95p

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SPASS Seminar: Theodore Drivas
by Mario Maurelli 02 May '25

02 May '25

Dear Colleagues, We would like to invite you to the following SPASS seminar, jointly organized by UniPi, SNS, UniFi and UniSi (abstract below): *Vibrodynamics of constrained mechanical systems* by *Theodore D. Drivas* (Stony Brook University) The seminar will take place on *TUE, 06.05.2025* at *9:00 CEST *(mind unusual time) in Aula Seminari, Dipartimento di Matematica, UNIPI and streamed online at this link <https://meet.google.com/gji-phwo-vbg>. Best regards Mario Maurelli https://sites.google.com/unipi.it/spass <https://www.google.com/url?q=https://sites.google.com/unipi.it/spass&source…> -------------------------------------------- *Title: Vibrodynamics of constrained mechanical systems* *Abstract: We study the effect of rapid vibration of constraining surfaces of arbitrary codimension on a confined mechanical particle. The slow dynamics experience an effective potential force coming from the geometry of the vibrating surface, which can introduce new equilibria and change stability character of existing ones. A classical example is Kapitza's stabilization of the inverted pendulum with a vibrating pivot. After developing this formalism for finite dimensional systems, we generalize to infinite dimensions by analogy and study the resulting vibrogenic forces for inextensible threads and incompressible fluids. The thread effectively becomes elastic, and the fluid evolves as a variant of the incompressible inhomogeneous system. This is joint work with D. Glukhovskiy.*

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Fwd: annuncio LYSeMinar 6 maggio 2025
by Domenico Marinucci 01 May '25

01 May '25

Cari colleghi di seguito l'annuncio di un seminario organizzato nell'ambito delle attività dell'IRL LYSM INdAM-CNRS, a cui siete tutti cordialmente invitati a partecipare. ----------------------------------------------------------- LYSeMinar Martedì 6 maggio, ore 10:30, Sala di Consiglio, Dipartimento di Matematica Guido Castelnuovo, Sapienza Università di Roma, P.le A. Moro 5, 00185 Roma Speaker: Lucia Caramellino (Univ. Roma Tor Vergata) Title: Regularization lemmas and applications Abstract: The talk focuses on some regularization results that allow one to prove estimates in the total variation distance, typically by upgrading already known estimates holding in the Wasserstein distance. In all this, tools from Malliavin calculus will play a crucial role. Some applications will then be discussed. The talk is mainly based on the papers "Regularization lemmas and convergence in total variation", with V. Bally and G. Poly (EJP 2020), and "Convergence in Total Variation for nonlinear functionals of random hyperspherical harmonics", with G. Giorgio and M. Rossi (JFA 2024). -- @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ Domenico Marinucci Dipartimento di Matematica Università di Roma Tor Vergata https://sites.google.com/view/domenicomarinucci @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@

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Fwd: International Seminar on SDEs and Related Topics: Emmanuel Gobet May 09
by Gianmario Tessitore - UNIMIB 01 May '25

01 May '25

Condivido molto volentieri ---------- Forwarded message --------- Da: Stefan Geiss <geiss(a)jyu.fi> Date: gio 1 mag 2025 alle ore 16:16 Subject: International Seminar on SDEs and Related Topics: Emmanuel Gobet May 09 To: <gianmario.tessitore(a)unimib.it> Dear Mario, we got the info for next week's talk. Best wishes, Stefan ------------------------------------------------ Friday, May 09, (12:30 noon London, 1:30 pm Berlin, 2:30 pm Helsinki, 7:30 pm Beijing) in the *International Seminar on SDEs and Related Topics* in Zoom https://jyufi.zoom.us/j/61891007917 *Emmanuel Gobet* (CMAP-Ecole Polytechnique, France) https://users.jyu.fi/~chgeiss/posterofPrEGobet.jpg will speak about *Numerical approximation of ergodic BSDEs using nonlinear* *Feynman-Kac formulas* Abstract: We study the numerical approximation of a class of ergodic Backward Stochastic Differential Equations. In order to build our numerical scheme, we put forward a new representation of the PDE solution by using a classical probabilistic representation of the gradient. Then, based on this representation, we propose a fully implementable numerical scheme using a Picard iteration procedure, a grid space discretization and a Monte-Carlo approximation. Up to a limiting technical condition that guarantees the contraction of the Picard procedure, we obtain an upper bound for the numerical error. We also provide some numerical experiments that show the efficiency of this approach for small dimensions. -- Gianmario Tessitore Dipartimento di Matematica e Applicazioni Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca

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43rd Finnish Summer School on Probability and Statistics in Lammi, Finland 26-30.5.2025
by Gasbarra, Dario 01 May '25

01 May '25

Dear friends of Stochastics and Statistics, students and supervisors, the registration for the 43rd Finnish Summer School on Probability and Statistics in Lammi, Finland 26-30.5.2025 is still open until May 10th ! Please check the website 43rd Finnish Summer School on Probability and Statistics | FDNSS<https://fdnss.fi/43rd-finnish-summer-school-on-probability-and-statistics/> Poster<https://fdnss.fi/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/fdnss-school_poster-2025-3.pdf> , Preliminary program (PDF)<https://fdnss.fi/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/schedule_probability_summer_sch…> Lecturers: Martin Hairer<https://hairer.org/> (Imperial College London and EPFL Lausanne) Xue Mei Li<https://www.xuemei.org/> (Imperial College London and EPFL Lausanne) Stefano Pagliarani<https://www.unibo.it/sitoweb/stefano.pagliarani9/en> (Bologna) Liam Solus<https://people.kth.se/~solus/> (KTH Stockholm) See you in Lammi ! (it will be also possible to attend remotely via zoom). With best greetings, Yours Dario Gasbarra, Department of Mathematics and Statistics University of Vaasa, P.O.Box 700 65101 Vaasa Finland

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Seminars in Statistics at Collegio Carlo Alberto - Marc HOFFMAN (UNIVERSITÉ PARIS-DAUPHINE)
by Matteo Giordano 01 May '25

01 May '25

SEMINARS IN STATISTICS @ COLLEGIO CARLO ALBERTO <https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.carloalberto.org/events/category/s…> Venerdì 09/05/2025, presso il Collegio Carlo Alberto, in Piazza Arbarello 8, Torino, si terrà il seguente seminario: ------------------------------------------------ 12.00-13.00 Speaker: Marc HOFFMAN (UNIVERSITÉ PARIS-DAUPHINE) Title: some questions in mathematical statistics linked to evolution PDEs Abstract: Evolution models in applications are often analyzed via PDEs, interpreted as a macroscopic description of the phenomenon of interest. This classical approach is nevertheless challenged by empirical data for model validation, especially when the phenomenon of interest does not depend on well established physical laws. In particular the statistical inference of parameters (estimation and testing) requires an underlying stochastic model. This is usually treated via some addition of noise, sometimes artificially and always a bit arbitrarily. Relying on some specific examples that appear in population biology (cell growth, human demography) or agent-based models in economy, we propose an alternative approach. Starting from a microscopic stochastic model that can be partially observed and for which the PDE of interest is a mean-field limit, the intrinsic statistical noise becomes the fluctuation between the empirical measure of the particle system and the solution of the PDE. We will outline a rigorous statistical program in this setting and will give some results on McKean-Vlasov models that shall emphasize the interest of our approach. ------------------------------------------------ Sarà possibile il seminario anche in streaming: chiunque volesse collegarsi è pregato di inviare una email entro *mercoledì 07/05/2025* a matteo.giordano(a)unito.it <mailto:matteo.giordano@unito.it> Il webinar è organizzato dalla "de Castro" Statistics Initiative (www.carloalberto.org/stats <http://www.carloalberto.org/stats>) in collaborazione con il Collegio Carlo Alberto. Cordiali saluti, Matteo Giordano Assistant Professor (RTDA) Department of Economics, Social Studies, Applied Mathematics and Statistics (ESOMAS) www.matteogiordano.weebly.com <https://matteogiordano.weebly.com/>

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Minicorso Christian Léonard
by Gustavo Posta 30 Apr '25

30 Apr '25

Nell'ambito del semestre tematico "Statistical Mechanics and Nonequilibrium Processes" del dipartimento di matematica "Guido Castelnuovo" il Prof. Christian Léonard (Paris Nanterre), terrà un minicorso dal titolo "Schroedinger’s problem" Le lezioni si terranno presso il dipartimento "Guido Castelnuovo" secondo il seguente calendario: lunedì 5 maggio 16:00 sala di consiglio giovedì 8 maggio 14:30 aula L venerdì 9 maggio 14:30 sala di consiglio lunedì 12 maggio 16:00 sala di consiglio Gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare ---------------------------------------------------------------- Gustavo Posta Dipartimento di Matematica Università di Roma "la Sapienza" P.le A. Moro 2, 00185 Roma Italy web: http://www1.mat.uniroma1.it/~posta e-mail: gustavo.posta(a)uniroma1.it phone: +39-06-4991-4969 -----------------------------------------------------------------

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