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Workshop to celebrate Carlo Sempi's 70th birthday
by Fabrizio Durante 01 Mar '18

01 Mar '18

Dear Colleagues, we are glad to announce the one-day Workshop "Scent of Copulas" to celebrate Carlo Sempi's seventieth birthday, taking place at the Rectorate of the University of Salento (Lecce, Italy) on *May 18th, 2018*. The conference focuses on dependence models and copulas, and their use in several fields (such as Statistics, Finance, Environmental Sciences, and more), and wishes to celebrate Carlo's scientific contributions to Probability Theory and Statistics, and his whole academic life. For all the details, please visit the (preliminary) Conference Website <https://www.adrianobarra.com/carlo70.html> and, for any other information, please do not hesitate to contact us at ScentOfCopulas(a)gmail.com <mailto:ScentOfCopulas@gmail.com> Looking forward to welcoming you in Lecce, Gianfausto Salvadori Fabrizio Durante Adriano Barra

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L'ATTUARIO: CHI È COSTUI?
by Giovanni Puccetti 01 Mar '18

01 Mar '18

Martedì 6 Marzo 2018, alle 1530, presso il Dipartimento di Economia, Management e Metodi Quantitativi, in via Conservatorio 7 (Sala Lauree) a Milano, Giampaolo Crenca, Presidente dell'Ordine degli Attuari, terrà l'intervento: L'ATTUARIO: CHI È COSTUI? La professione attuariale in Italia: stato dell'arte e prospettive di sviluppo. Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare.

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School ABS18: BAYESIAN STATISTICAL MODELLING AND ANALYSIS IN SPORT
by fabrizio＠mi.imati.cnr.it 28 Feb '18

28 Feb '18

Registration is open for ABS18, the 15th Applied Bayesian Statistics summer school. The daily programme is available on the website. Website: web.mi.imati.cnr.it/conferences/abs18/index.html Topic: BAYESIAN STATISTICAL MODELLING AND ANALYSIS IN SPORT Dates: 4-8, June, 2018 Location: Villa del Grumello, Como, Italy Lecturer: Kerrie MENGERSEN, Distinguished Professor of Statistics, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia. Practical sessions: Paul WU, Research Fellow, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia. Fees (if paid by 8/4/2018): - EUR 300 (22% VAT included) students and postdocs - EUR 450 (368.85 + 22% VAT) people from academic and non-profit organisations - EUR 900 (737.70 + 22% VAT) all the others Italian public employees are exempt from VAT. Best regards Guido Consonni and Fabrizio Ruggeri ABS18 Directors Raffaele Argiento ABS18 Executive Director -- Fabrizio Ruggeri fabrizio AT mi.imati.cnr.it CNR IMATI tel +39 0223699532 Via Bassini 15 fax +39 0223699538 I-20133 Milano (Italy) web.mi.imati.cnr.it/fabrizio

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seminario Pescara
by c.costantini＠unich.it 27 Feb '18

27 Feb '18

Il prof. T.G. KURTZ della University of Wisconsin-Madison terra' un seminario dal titolo: POPULATION MODELS AS PARTIAL OBSERVATIONS OF GENEALOGICAL MODELS L'8 MARZO 2018 alle ore 11:00 nell'AULA SEMINARI della sede di VIALE DELLA PINETA del DIPARTIMENTO DI ECONOMIA ABSTRACT Classical models of biological populations, for example, Markov branching processes, typically model population size and possibly the distribution of types and/or locations of individuals in the population. The intuition behind these models usually includes ideas about the relationships among the individuals in the population that cannot be directly recovered from the model. This loss of information is even greater if one employs large population approximations such as the diffusion approximations popular in population genetics. "Lookdown" constructions provide representations of population models in terms of countable systems of particles in which each particle has a "type" which may record both spatial location and genetic type and a "level" which incorporates the lookdown structure which in turn captures the genealogy of the population. The original population model can then be viewed as the result of partial observation of the more complex model. We will exploit ideas from filtering of Markov processes to make the idea of partial observation clear and to justify the lookdown construction. Tutti gli interessati sono cordialmente invitati a partecipare. Cristina Costantini e Claudia Ceci

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Postdoctoral position at UQ focussing on multi-scale mathematics/models
by adicrescenzo＠unisa.it 27 Feb '18

27 Feb '18

Inoltro notizia di posizione postdoc in ambito probabilistico presso School of Mathematics and Physics, The University of Queensland, Australia -------- Messaggio originale -------- OGGETTO: Postdoctoral position at UQ focussing on multi-scale mathematics/models DATA: 2018-02-27 09:23 MITTENTE: Philip Pollett <pkp(a)maths.uq.edu.au> DESTINATARIO: Antonio DI CRESCENZO <adicrescenzo(a)unisa.it> Dear Antonio, We're looking to appoint a probabilist to a new postdoctoral position at UQ focussing on multi-scale mathematics/models. http://jobs.uq.edu.au/caw/en/job/503030/postdoctoral-research-fellow Please pass on to anyone you think might be interested. Applications close: 20 March 2018 Regards, Phil.

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Seminario a RM1
by Faggionato, Alessandra 27 Feb '18

27 Feb '18

Seminario di Fisica Matematica e Probabilità Mercoledì 7 marzo, ore 16:15, Aula di Consiglio, Dipartimento di Matematica, Roma La Sapienza Speaker: Alessandra Occelli (Università di Bonn) *Title: On time correlations for last passage percolation models* Abstract. We study time correlations of last passage percolation (LPP), a model in the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang universality class, with three different geometries: step, flat and stationary. We prove the convergence of the covariances of the LPP at two different times to a limiting expression given in terms of Airy processes. Furthermore, we prove the behaviour of the covariances when the two times are close to each other, conjectured in a work of Ferrari and Spohn. -- ************************************************* Prof. Alessandra Faggionato http://www1.mat.uniroma1.it/~faggionato/ Department of Mathematics University "La Sapienza" Piazzale Aldo Moro, 5 00185 - Rome Office 5, Phone (0039) 06 49913252 *************************************************

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De Finetti Risk Seminar - February 2018
by Emanuela Rosazza 26 Feb '18

26 Feb '18

On behalf of the Scientific Committee of the de Finetti Risk Seminars, we are glad to invite you to participate at the following Lecture Deciding with Judgment Simone Manganelli European Central Bank Abstract: Non sample information is hidden in frequentist statistics in the choice of the hypothesis to be tested and of the confidence level. Explicit treatment of these elements provides the connection between Bayesian and frequentist statistics. A frequentist decision maker starts from a judgmental decision and moves to the closest boundary of the confidence interval of the first order conditions, for a given loss function. This statistical decision rule does not perform worse than the judgmental decision with a probability equal to the confidence level. For any given prior, there is a mapping from the sample realization to the confidence level which makes Bayesian and frequentist decision rules equivalent. Frequentist decision rules can also be interpreted as decisions under ambiguity. LOCATION: The seminar will be held on Wednesday, February 28, at 18.00 at room 3-E4-SR03, Bocconi University, Via Rontgen 1, 3rd floor, Milano. A refreshment will be offered at 17.30. Scientific Committee: Prof. Simone Cerreia-Voglio (Univ. Bocconi) Prof. Marco Frittelli (Univ. degli Studi di Milano) Prof. Fabio Maccheroni (Univ. Bocconi) Prof. Massimo Marinacci (Univ. Bocconi) Prof. Emanuela Rosazza Gianin (Univ. Milano-Bicocca) Dott. Marco Maggis (Univ. degli Studi di Milano) ******************************************************************************************* Emanuela Rosazza Gianin Dipartimento di Statistica e Metodi Quantitativi Università di Milano-Bicocca Edificio U7 – 4° Piano Via Bicocca degli Arcimboldi, 8 20126 Milano Tel. 02 64483208 Fax. 02 64483105 e-mail: emanuela.rosazza1(a)unimib.it *******************************************************************************************

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International Summer School on Risk Measurement and Control 2018
by Roy Cerqueti 25 Feb '18

25 Feb '18

Dear all, this is to inform you that the 12th Edition of the International Summer School on Risk Measurement and Control will take place in Rome on 4-9 June, 2018. Four macrothemes will be explored: * Green Economics and Finance <http://www.risksummerschool.eu/node/208> * The Fin Tech challenge <http://www.risksummerschool.eu/node/212> * Monetary Policy in a low inflation environment <http://www.risksummerschool.eu/node/214> * Banking, Financial and Insurance Regulation <http://www.risksummerschool.eu/node/213> More information can be find on the <http://www.risksummerschool.eu/> website. The outstandig level of the lecturers and the relevance of the treated subjects let this well-established school be of wide interest for both academicians and practitioners. With my warmest regards Roy Cerqueti (Organizing Committee)

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seminar at LUISS
by Marco Scarsini 23 Feb '18

23 Feb '18

February 27 2018 from 12:00 to 13:00 LUISS room 104 viale Romania 32 00197 Roma Speaker: Dov Samet (Tel Aviv University) Title: Desirability Abstract: Savage's theory of decision shows the equivalence of two structures. One is the behavioral-observable preferences over acts, the other is the mental-unobservable structure of probability and utility. The latter is not only unobservable but also cannot be reported by the decision maker. We propose an alternative mental-unobservable structure of desirability preferences which can replace the pair probability-utility and can be consciously reported. ******************************************************* Marco Scarsini Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza LUISS Viale Romania 32 00197 Roma, ITALY URL: http://docenti.luiss.it/scarsini/

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Seminari di Probabilità, Pavia: S. Boucheron e L. Dello Schiavo
by Federico Bassetti 22 Feb '18

22 Feb '18

Seminari di Probabilità, Pavia Mercoledì 28 Febbraio 2018 nell'aula Beltrami del Dipartimento di Matematica dell' Università di Pavia (via Ferrata 1) si svolgeranno due seminari: Ore 14.30: Stephane Boucheron, Univ. Paris Diderot "TBA" Ore 15.30: Lorenzo Dello Schiavo, Universität Bonn Characteristic functionals of Dirichlet measures and their algebraic properties Abstract: We consider Dirichlet—Ferguson (DF) measures, a family of random probabilities on a locally compact Polish space X. Introduced by T. S. Ferguson in Ann. Stat. 1(2) 209ff., 1973, these measures have ever since found applications widely ranging from Bayesian non-parametrics to population genetics and stochastic dynamics of infinite particle systems. We compute the characteristic functionals of DF measures relying on those of their finite-dimensional marginalizations, the Dirichlet (D) distributions on standard simplices. In finite dimensions, we identify the dynamical symmetry algebra L of the characteristic functional of D as a simple Lie algebra of type A. Additionally, we show that all integer semi-lattices of certain posterior D distributions have a natural structure of weight Lie algebra module for L. A probabilistic interpretation and a partial generalization of these results to the infinite-dimensional case of DF measures is at hand. If time permits, we will also address a second characterization of DF measures by means of a Georgii—Nguyen—Zessin-type formula (joint work with E. W. Lytvynov, Swansea University). Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare

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