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Fwd: [owps] Talks thursday May 27
by Faggionato, Alessandra 26 May '21

26 May '21

Buongiorno inoltro l'annuncio del OWPS di domani. Saluti Alessandra ---------- Forwarded message --------- Da: One World Probability <ow.probability(a)gmail.com> Date: mer 26 mag 2021 alle ore 08:01 Subject: [owps] Talks thursday May 27 To: <owps(a)lists.bath.ac.uk> Dear All, we have a session on opinion dynamics tomorrow, namely talks by Elchanan Mossel and Timo Vilkas, see below. Remember that we start 14:00 UTC which is 16:00 CET! 14:00-15:00 Elchanan Mossel Opinion Exchange Dynamics I will survey some of the main opinion exchange dynamics models that were invented in probability theory and in economics. I will then discuss ``martingale models" - models where the opinion of each agent forms a martingale. I will highlight some recent large-deviation and graph-limit perspectives of these models. Based on: Mossel, Elchanan, Allan Sly, and Omer Tamuz. "Asymptotic learning on bayesian social networks." Probability Theory and Related Fields 158.1-2 (2014): 127-157. Mossel, Elchanan, Allan Sly, and Omer Tamuz. "Strategic learning and the topology of social networks." Econometrica 83.5 (2015): 1755-1794. Mossel, Elchanan, and Omer Tamuz. "Opinion exchange dynamics." Probability Surveys 14 (2017): 155-204. Harel, Matan, Elchanan Mossel, Philipp Strack, and Omer Tamuz. "Rational groupthink." The Quarterly Journal of Economics 136, no. 1 (2021): 621-668. 15:00 - 16:00 UTC Timo Vilkas Long-term behavior in opinion dynamics: clustering vs. consensus and local vs. global Using the examples of the well-known voter model (Holley & Liggett, 1975) and a lesser-known bounded confidence model. introduced by Deffuant et al. (2000), I want to discuss common limit behavior in interacting particle systems modelling opinion dynamics. Both the transition from clustering to consensus formation and the dichotomy between weak (local) and strong (global) consensus will play a central role. The Zoom link is on the OWPS webpage. It can also be accessed directly via https://tum-conf.zoom.us/j/69810931142 <https://eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftum-conf.…> Meeting-ID: 698 1093 1142 Kenncode: 435370 Best wishes, Julien and Nina -- ************************************************* Prof. Alessandra Faggionato http://www1.mat.uniroma1.it/~faggionato/ Department of Mathematics University "La Sapienza" Piazzale Aldo Moro, 5 00185 - Rome Office 5, Phone (0039) 06 49913252 *************************************************

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posto RTDB - Milano-Bicocca
by Emanuela Rosazza Gianin 24 May '21

24 May '21

Si avvisa che e' stato bandito un posto da ricercatore RTDB nel settore SECS-S/06 presso il Dipartimento di Statistica e Metodi quantitativi dell'Universita' di Milano-Bicocca. La scadenza per le domande e' il giorno 9 giugno 2021. Bando e dettagli sono consultabili alla pagina https://www.unimib.it/ateneo/gare-e-concorsi/2021-rtdb-095 Cordiali saluti, Emanuela ****************************************** Emanuela Rosazza Gianin Dipartimento di Statistica e Metodi Quantitativi Università di Milano-Bicocca Edificio U7 – 4° Piano Via Bicocca degli Arcimboldi, 8 20126 Milano Tel. 02 64483208 e-mail: emanuela.rosazza1(a)unimib.it ******************************************

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Special Issue - Annals of Operations Research
by Claudio Fontana 21 May '21

21 May '21

Dear all, We want to bring to your attention the Call for papers for the Special Issue "Recent Advances in Mathematical Methods for Finance" of the journal Annals of Operations Research (https://www.springer.com/journal/10479 <https://www.springer.com/journal/10479>). We are targeting original contributions in emerging topics in mathematical finance, including theoretical aspects as well as computational techniques. Submitted papers will undergo a regular review process under the supervision of the Guest Editors (G. Callegaro, C. Fontana, M. Grasselli, W.J. Runggaldier, T. Vargiolu). The deadline for submissions is November 30, 2021. This Special Issue is connected to the themes of the 10th General AMaMeF Conference (June 22-26, University of Padova, https://events.math.unipd.it/AMAMEF2021/home <https://events.math.unipd.it/AMAMEF2021/home>) but paper submission is open to the research community and not restricted to the conference attendees. Here attached the full Call for papers. Best regards, the AMaMeF organizing committee, G. Callegaro, C. Fontana, M. Grasselli, W.J. Runggaldier, T. Vargiolu

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Sussex probability seminar
by Enrico Scalas 21 May '21

21 May '21

Care colleghe e colleghi, vi invio l'annuncio del seminario di William FitzGerald il 24 maggio a mezzogiorno. Le persone interessate possono ottenere il link contattando l'organizzatrice, Dr Minmin Wang (minmin.wang(a)sussex.ac.uk <https://fields.dm.unipi.it/listinfo/random>). Cordiali saluti, Enrico Scalas -- Dear all, Next Monday at 11am we’ll have the last Prob. Seminar of this semester. Will FitzGerald will speak about Random growth and random matrices This talk will focus on some connections between random growth models, directed polymers and random matrices. This is based on joint work with Jon Warren.

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Summer School in Trento (Italy) 30 August - 3 September 2021
by Luigi Amedeo Bianchi 21 May '21

21 May '21

The Stochastic Processes, Analysis and Semigroups Summer School will take place August 30 to September 3 2021 at the University of Trento (Italy). It is a one-week summer school for Master and PhD students and is co-organized by the Universities of Trento and Wuppertal. It will consist of four minicourses, delivered in a hybrid in-person/online mode: Introduction to the Large Deviations Theory (Mariem Abdellatif, Wuppertal) Asymptotics and ergodic properties of operator semigroups (Bálint Farkas, Wuppertal) SPDEs with multiple limiting distributions (Martin Friesen, Dublin City and Barbara Rüdiger, Wuppertal) Singular stochastic PDEs and renormalization of Anderson Hamiltonian (Baris Ugurcan, Wuppertal). The school is made possible by funding of the University of Trento, within the Department of Excellence project. There are limited resources available to partially cover local expenses of some of the participating students. For more information, visit the webpage of the school: https://sites.google.com/unitn.it/sstw/ Best regards, the organisers: Luigi Amedeo Bianchi (Trento) Stefano Bonaccorsi (Trento) Bálint Farkas (Wuppertal) Martin Friesen (Dublin City) Barbara Rüdiger (Wuppertal) Baris Ugurcan (Wuppertal)

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European Summer School on Learning in Games, Markets, and Online Decision Making
by Marco Scarsini 21 May '21

21 May '21

*European Summer School on Learning in Games, Markets, and Online Decision Making* *September 6-10, 2021* *Sapienza Università di Roma, Department of Computer, Control and Management Engineering, Antonio Ruberti* https://sites.google.com/a/diag.uniroma1.it/algadimar/summer-school The school will have a group of prestigious scholars giving tutorials and research seminars. Among them: Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi, José Correa, Michal Feldman, Renato Paes Leme, and Eva Tardos. The presence of all the speakers will be determined by the traveling constraints at the time of the school. Some of the speakers may have to take part in the school online. Partial support for local expenses and travel will be made available for at most 25 international students from COST countries <https://www.cost.eu/who-we-are/members/> by the COST GAMENET project. If you intend to attend the school, please fill out this form <https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1UK6ysgJZuJNEhNkIFSTS--Pr93i-Ij-ZGHZXfWegeS…> by June 15, 2021. For further information, please contact leonardi(a)diag.uniroma1.it. Please spread the word among your graduate students. The organizers Nicola Gatti, Stefano Leonardi, Marco Scarsini

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May 27-28: BISP12 - Twelfth Workshop on Bayesian Inference in Stochastic Processes
by elisa varini 20 May '21

20 May '21

We informyou that it is still possible to register (free of charge) for *BISP12 (Twelfth Workshop on Bayesian Inference in Stochastic Processes)* to be held on May 27 (13.55-18.35 CEST) and 28 (13.00-17.50 CEST). The website ishttps://bisp12.imati.cnr.it/ <https://bisp12.imati.cnr.it/> The event is organized by CNR – IMATI (Institute of Applied Mathematics and Information Technology at the Italian National Research Council), Milano, Italy: https://www.imati.cnr.it/ <https://www.imati.cnr.it/> We have 10 junior invited speakers and 10 more senior discussants (within parentheses): • Atilla Ay, USA (Melike Baykal-Gursoy, USA) • Clara Grazian, Australia (Maria Concepcion Ausin, Spain) • Andrew Holbrook, USA (Katja Ickstadt, Germany) • Kaoru Irie, Japan (Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter, Austria) • Roi Naveiro, Spain (Mike West, USA) • Giovanni Rebaudo , USA (Bernardo Nipoti, Italy) • Claudia Solis-Lemus, USA (Nicholas Polson, USA) • Stéphanie Van Der Pas, The Netherlands (Antonio Lijoi, Italy) • Andi Wang, UK (Giacomo Zanella, Italy) • Paul Wu, Australia (David Banks, USA) The titles of their (live) talks are available on the website. We have also many contributors who uploaded (or are uploading) a 20-minutes video at https://bisp12.imati.cnr.it/virtual_poster.php <https://bisp12.imati.cnr.it/virtual_poster.php>(accessible also in the near future) and will prepare a 5-minutes video to be broadcast during the conference. We invite to watch those videos and send comments to the authors. The entire event will be recorded and then uploaded in the BISP12 website. Best regards Elisa Varini and Fabrizio Ruggeri Chairs, Organising and Scientific Committees

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LTI@Unito webinar Andrea Modea (U. Bonn): “Recapitalization, Bailout, and Long-run Welfare in a Dynamic Model of Banking”| May 24, 2021 @12:45
by Luca Regis 20 May '21

20 May '21

Dear Colleagues, I am happy to share with you the following invitation to the Quantative Finance webinar organized by LTI@UniTO and Collegio Carlo Alberto, “Recapitalization, Bailout, and Long-run Welfare in a Dynamic Model of Banking” by Andrea Modena (University of Bonn), which will take place on Zoom on May 24, at 12.45. Below you find the Zoom link and an abstract of the presentation. Best regards, Luca Regis <#> <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/J7QJ4oN6YVj_zZsZOtARrIVf6c7Hmq99bS…> <#> LTI@Unito and Fondazione Collegio Carlo Alberto are pleased to invite you to the following workshop <#> *May 24, 2021 | 12:45 - 13:45* *“Recapitalization, Bailout, and Long-run Welfare in a Dynamic Model of Banking”* *Andrea Modena (University of Bonn, Università Ca’ Foscari Venezia) * <#> *Abstract. *We study the trade-off between the short-run costs and the long-run benefits of bank bailouts. In the model, banks leverage, thanks to their cost advantage at monitoring firms, but hold precautionary capital buffers to avoid costly equity issuance. Banks’ recapitalization is suboptimal because they do not internalize the externalities of the banking sector’s relative size on their individual leverage capacity and firms’ investments. Systematic bailouts can improve the allocation efficiency in bad states, in which banks’ leverage is persistently constrained and investments are low. In the long run, bailouts accelerate the economy’s recovery by fostering growth, thereby reducing endogenous risk. *Zoom link:* *https://us02web.zoom.us/j/83596624662?pwd=ZmlvenJSbGJVZjl4WTA0MnNMUXVlZz09* <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/s-qJVnhbS_zG1dfsi6qOu9mnfTxc8QKO7h…> Meeting ID: 835 9662 4662 Passcode: 056057 <#> <#> <#> <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/yuwpD8sTuPk6FHLiRKKpTMm-UjUyfN6wgb…> <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/VpUegKgodGXzBen7C44jhlkXkF9jhsSmmo…> <#> FONDAZIONE COLLEGIO CARLO ALBERTO Piazza Arbarello 8 - 10122 Torino, Italy phone: +390116705000 segreteria(a)carloalberto.org - www.carloalberto.org Facebook <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/cMWe7pVTdvfxQ1F14Ip-99gRFCuIRpXB8y…> Twitter <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/PBGBAvJh5x5DlI_7sK-JDvUzZNEYzjMddC…> LinkedIn <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/ODY9SQh8giPEbUl9tQNsfhNYuPH1kUrrxH…> Instagram <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/eSYLTqj79odIe23NOKQ9iD17xZiiWLxZpk…> Youtube <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/cl/f/VHxNOf4LAHpDbLIqIRMcZ1IjxJ8vJMlt0R…> <#> *INFORMATION UNDER THE NEW GENERAL DATA PROTECTION REGULATION (GDPR)* Your personal information has been gathered for the exclusive purpose of informing you about the Collegio's initiatives, considering our and your legitimate interest or your consent. If you wish to have your personal data modified please contact Fondazione Collegio Carlo Alberto, piazza Arbarello 8, 1022 Torino, Italy - phone: +390116705000 - privacy(a)carloalberto.org *Unsubscribe* <https://4z5y5.r.a.d.sendibm1.com/mk/un/pwqLm48bGIHoEgSNMJjK02XvcE2z7S4OYMkg…> <#> © 2021 Fondazione Collegio Carlo Alberto

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(PMS)^2 online talk: Alessandra Bianchi, Monday May 24 at 17.30
by Carlo Orrieri 19 May '21

19 May '21

Dear colleagues, We are happy to announce the following online talk: Speaker: Alessandra Bianchi (Università di Padova) Title: Limit Theorems for Exponential Random Graphs. Abstract: Exponential Random Graphs are defined through probabilistic ensembles with one or more adjustable parameters. They can be seen as a generalization of the classical Erdos Renyi random graph, obtained by defining a tilted probability measure that is proportional to the densities of certain given finite subgraphs. In this talk we will focus on the edge-triangle model, that is a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. Borrowing tools from statistical mechanics, together with large deviations techniques, we will characterize the limiting behavior of the edge density for all parameters in the so-called replica symmetric regime, where a complete characterization of the phase diagram of the model is accessible. First, we determine the asymptotic distribution of this quantity, as the graph size tends to infinity, in the various phases. Then we study the fluctuations of the edge density around its average value off the critical curve and formulate conjectures about the behavior at criticality based on the analysis of a mean-field approximation of the model. Joint work with Francesca Collet and Elena Magnanini. Date and time: Monday May 24, 17:30-18:30 (Rome time zone) Zoom link: https://us02web.zoom.us/j/81602205122?pwd=Wlk0SVZPRjY4UHFzR1c5RmJMekRCZz09 <https://us02web.zoom.us/j/81602205122?pwd=Wlk0SVZPRjY4UHFzR1c5RmJMekRCZz09> Meeting ID: 816 0220 5122 Passcode: d5v0SS This talk is the second of the (PMS)^2: Pavia-Milano Seminar series on Probability and Mathematical Statistics organized jointly by the universities Milano-Bicocca, Pavia, Milano-Politecnico and Milano-Statale. Participation is free and welcome! (though limited to 100 participants for technical reasons) Best regards The organizers (Mario Maurelli, Carlo Orrieri, Maurizia Rossi, Margherita Zanella)

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Fwd: [owps] talks May 20
by Faggionato, Alessandra 19 May '21

19 May '21

Buongiorno, inoltro l'annuncio del OWPS di domani per chi fosse interessato. Grazie dell'attenzione Saluti Alessandra ---------- Forwarded message --------- Da: One World Probability <ow.probability(a)gmail.com> Date: mer 19 mag 2021 alle ore 08:03 Subject: [owps] talks May 20 To: <owps(a)lists.bath.ac.uk> Dear All, we have two talks tomorrow. Remember that we start 14:00 UTC which is 16:00 CET! 14:00-15:00 UTC Pascal MaillardBranching particle systems and front propagation I will review some recent results (some in progress) on extremes of branching particle systems as models of front propagation. The main theme will be asymptotic results about speed and fluctuations. The talk will be based on joint work with various subsets of the following people : Gaël Raoul, Michel Pain, Sarah Penington, Jason Schweinsberg, Julie Tourniaire. 15:00 - 16:00 UTC Sarah Penington Brownian bees in the infinite swarm limit Consider a system of N particles moving according to Brownian motions and branching at rate one. Each time a particle branches, the particle in the system furthest from the origin is killed. I will discuss the large N and large time behaviour of the system, which is related to solutions of a novel non-linear free boundary partial differential equation. Based on joint work with Julien Berestycki, Éric Brunet and Jim Nolen. The Zoom link is on the OWPS webpage. It can also be accessed directly via https://tum-conf.zoom.us/j/67314174274 <https://eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftum-conf.…> Meeting-ID: 673 1417 4274 Password: 532590 Best wishes, Julien and Nina -- ************************************************* Prof. Alessandra Faggionato http://www1.mat.uniroma1.it/~faggionato/ Department of Mathematics University "La Sapienza" Piazzale Aldo Moro, 5 00185 - Rome Office 5, Phone (0039) 06 49913252 *************************************************

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