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De Finetti Risk Seminar - February 2018
by Emanuela Rosazza 26 Feb '18

26 Feb '18

On behalf of the Scientific Committee of the de Finetti Risk Seminars, we are glad to invite you to participate at the following Lecture Deciding with Judgment Simone Manganelli European Central Bank Abstract: Non sample information is hidden in frequentist statistics in the choice of the hypothesis to be tested and of the confidence level. Explicit treatment of these elements provides the connection between Bayesian and frequentist statistics. A frequentist decision maker starts from a judgmental decision and moves to the closest boundary of the confidence interval of the first order conditions, for a given loss function. This statistical decision rule does not perform worse than the judgmental decision with a probability equal to the confidence level. For any given prior, there is a mapping from the sample realization to the confidence level which makes Bayesian and frequentist decision rules equivalent. Frequentist decision rules can also be interpreted as decisions under ambiguity. LOCATION: The seminar will be held on Wednesday, February 28, at 18.00 at room 3-E4-SR03, Bocconi University, Via Rontgen 1, 3rd floor, Milano. A refreshment will be offered at 17.30. Scientific Committee: Prof. Simone Cerreia-Voglio (Univ. Bocconi) Prof. Marco Frittelli (Univ. degli Studi di Milano) Prof. Fabio Maccheroni (Univ. Bocconi) Prof. Massimo Marinacci (Univ. Bocconi) Prof. Emanuela Rosazza Gianin (Univ. Milano-Bicocca) Dott. Marco Maggis (Univ. degli Studi di Milano) ******************************************************************************************* Emanuela Rosazza Gianin Dipartimento di Statistica e Metodi Quantitativi Università di Milano-Bicocca Edificio U7 – 4° Piano Via Bicocca degli Arcimboldi, 8 20126 Milano Tel. 02 64483208 Fax. 02 64483105 e-mail: emanuela.rosazza1(a)unimib.it *******************************************************************************************

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International Summer School on Risk Measurement and Control 2018
by Roy Cerqueti 25 Feb '18

25 Feb '18

Dear all, this is to inform you that the 12th Edition of the International Summer School on Risk Measurement and Control will take place in Rome on 4-9 June, 2018. Four macrothemes will be explored: * Green Economics and Finance <http://www.risksummerschool.eu/node/208> * The Fin Tech challenge <http://www.risksummerschool.eu/node/212> * Monetary Policy in a low inflation environment <http://www.risksummerschool.eu/node/214> * Banking, Financial and Insurance Regulation <http://www.risksummerschool.eu/node/213> More information can be find on the <http://www.risksummerschool.eu/> website. The outstandig level of the lecturers and the relevance of the treated subjects let this well-established school be of wide interest for both academicians and practitioners. With my warmest regards Roy Cerqueti (Organizing Committee)

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seminar at LUISS
by Marco Scarsini 23 Feb '18

23 Feb '18

February 27 2018 from 12:00 to 13:00 LUISS room 104 viale Romania 32 00197 Roma Speaker: Dov Samet (Tel Aviv University) Title: Desirability Abstract: Savage's theory of decision shows the equivalence of two structures. One is the behavioral-observable preferences over acts, the other is the mental-unobservable structure of probability and utility. The latter is not only unobservable but also cannot be reported by the decision maker. We propose an alternative mental-unobservable structure of desirability preferences which can replace the pair probability-utility and can be consciously reported. ******************************************************* Marco Scarsini Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza LUISS Viale Romania 32 00197 Roma, ITALY URL: http://docenti.luiss.it/scarsini/

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Seminari di Probabilità, Pavia: S. Boucheron e L. Dello Schiavo
by Federico Bassetti 22 Feb '18

22 Feb '18

Seminari di Probabilità, Pavia Mercoledì 28 Febbraio 2018 nell'aula Beltrami del Dipartimento di Matematica dell' Università di Pavia (via Ferrata 1) si svolgeranno due seminari: Ore 14.30: Stephane Boucheron, Univ. Paris Diderot "TBA" Ore 15.30: Lorenzo Dello Schiavo, Universität Bonn Characteristic functionals of Dirichlet measures and their algebraic properties Abstract: We consider Dirichlet—Ferguson (DF) measures, a family of random probabilities on a locally compact Polish space X. Introduced by T. S. Ferguson in Ann. Stat. 1(2) 209ff., 1973, these measures have ever since found applications widely ranging from Bayesian non-parametrics to population genetics and stochastic dynamics of infinite particle systems. We compute the characteristic functionals of DF measures relying on those of their finite-dimensional marginalizations, the Dirichlet (D) distributions on standard simplices. In finite dimensions, we identify the dynamical symmetry algebra L of the characteristic functional of D as a simple Lie algebra of type A. Additionally, we show that all integer semi-lattices of certain posterior D distributions have a natural structure of weight Lie algebra module for L. A probabilistic interpretation and a partial generalization of these results to the infinite-dimensional case of DF measures is at hand. If time permits, we will also address a second characterization of DF measures by means of a Georgii—Nguyen—Zessin-type formula (joint work with E. W. Lytvynov, Swansea University). Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare

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[WORKSHOP] Computational Aspects of Simulation and Inference for Stochastic Processes and the YUIMA Project
by stefano iacus 22 Feb '18

22 Feb '18

Computational Aspects of Simulation and Inference for Stochastic Processes and the YUIMA Project This two-day workshop is aimed at presenting the latest results on simulation and inference for stochastic processes and their current and prospect implementation within the YUIMA R package. Dates: March 27 (Tue) 9:15-12:15, 14:45-17:45 March 28 (Wed) 9:15-12:15, 14:45-17:45 Location: Department of Economics, Business and Statistics Via Conservatorio 7, 20122 Milan (ITALY) 2 Floor, Departmental Seminar Room Invited speakers: * Alessandro De Gregorio (University of Rome) * Alexande Brouste (University of Le Mans, France) * Yuta Koike (University of Tokyo, JST CREST) * Emanuele Guidotti (University of Milan) * Stefano M. Iacus (University of Milan) * Lorenzo Mercuri (University of Milan) * Hiroki Masuda (Kyushu University) * Yuma Uehara (Institute of Statistical Mathematics) * Nakahiro Yoshida (University of Tokyo, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, JST CREST) The attendance to the workshop is open to “eveRyone" interested in the YUIMA Project. A considerable part of the workshop is dedicated to discussion on further development of the YUIMA package. This workshop is supported by: - Department of Economics, Business and Statistics, University of Milan - CREST Japan Science and Technology Agency - JSPS Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research ----------------------------------- Prof. Stefano M. Iacus, Ph.D. Director of MEF - Master in Finance & Economics http://www.mef.unimi.it CEO/CTO/Co-Founder VOICES from the Blogs http://www.voices-int.com Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods University of Milan Via Conservatorio, 7 I-20123 Milan - Italy Ph.: +39 02 50321 461 Fax: +39 02 50321 505 Twitter: @iacus http://scholar.google.com/citations?user=JBs9tJ4AAAAJ&hl=en http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4884-0047 Master in Finance & Economics http://www.mef.unimi.it Twitter: @mefunimi Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/mefunimi Email and further information at: mef(a)unimi.it ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Please don't send me Word or PowerPoint attachments if not absolutely necessary. See: http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/no-word-attachments.html

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expression of interest in the area of Mathematical Statistics and Data Science
by Stefano Bonaccorsi 21 Feb '18

21 Feb '18

*Opening of a Faculty Position in the area of **Mathematical Statistics and Data Science* *at the Department of Mathematics of the University of Trento* The Department of Mathematics of the University of Trento (henceforth referred to as the Department) seeks a scientist working in the field of Mathematical Statistics and Data Science to be appointed in a tenure-track position. The Department invites highly qualified scientists in the field of Data Science to send an Expression of Interest (EOI) in view of the activation of a tenure-track position. The Department currently enrolls in the field of Probability and Mathematical Statistics two Associate Professors and one Assistant Professor, tenure track (ricercatore TD – B) and has a strong interest in building up a larger research group in the area of Data Science. Candidates with a strong research background in fields related to Probability, Mathematical Statistics, Statistical Learning, Scientific Computing and Mathematical Foundation of Data Science are strongly encouraged to apply. The Department seeks a scientist working on cutting edge research topics, internationally recognized as part of a scientific network of experts in her/his own field; successful experience in the supervision of doctoral students and interdisciplinary collaborations are a plus. The Department coordinates a Master's Program in Mathematics, with a specific curriculum in Mathematics for Life and Data Sciences with an average of 20 students per year. The Department is also involved in two interdisciplinary Master's programs: (i) Quantitative and Computational Biology and (ii) Data Science. The PhD School in Mathematics enrolls in the average ten students per year. The successful candidate is expected to be one of the reference Faculty for the curriculum in Mathematics for Life and Data Sciences, and to participate in teaching activities at all levels. Moreover, candidates are expected to show a strong potential to apply to competitive research grants in particular towards EU funding schemes. APPLICATION The deadline for these expressions of interest, to be sent to the Head of the Department (current Head is professor A. Caranti) at *direttore.maths(a)unitn.it <direttore.maths(a)unitn.it>*, is *31 March 2018*. At a later date, the Department will open a formal call, according to Italians rules and regulations. ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS 1- Teaching load Two courses per year, seminar activity and tutoring of PhD students. All activities at the Master's and doctoral level are in English. 2- Salary The amount of salary will be determined on a personal basis, according to the Italian Law. Indicative figures of the minimum gross amount per year of the starting salary are: Assistant Professor, tenure track (ricercatori TD – B) € 45.367 After 3 years candidates will be promoted to the Associate Professor level (starting level € 50.831), provided that the necessary qualification (abilitazione nazionale) have been reached. Net income may vary case by case, after income taxes, local taxes, retirement plan, health care deduction and tax exemptions depending on the family structure; individuals transferring their fiscal residence to Italy from abroad may benefit for 3 years of partial tax exemptions. It may be possible to obtain a partial recognition of past services abroad at a corresponding level depending on legal constraints to be satisfied. Organisation: Job location: Department of Mathematics - University of Trento via Sommarive 14 38123 Trento TN Italy Deadline: Saturday, March 31, 2018

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EMS-IAMP Summer School in Mathematical Physics, Ischia 11-15 June 2018 (fwd)
by pietro caputo 21 Feb '18

21 Feb '18

ricevo e inoltro volentieri %%%%%% Dear all, following previous announcements of the EMS-IAMP Summer School in Mathematical Physics on 'Universality in Probability Theory and Statistical Mechanics', we would like to inform you that conference poster is now available on the school website; you can download it also from here: http://www.mat.uniroma3.it/users/giuliani/public_html/Ischia _Summer_School/contenuti_sito/locandina/Ischia_poster.pdf Furthermore, you can find title and abstract of the school main courses on "Programme" page of the website. We remind you also the DEADLINE to apply for FINANCIAL SUPPORT and send material for CONTRIBUTED TALKS is THE END OF FEBRUARY. With our best regards, Serena Cenatiempo Alessandro Giuliani Rafael Greenblatt Domenico Monaco

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Ca' Foscari University Seminars
by Carlo Gaetan 21 Feb '18

21 Feb '18

Seminar Annoucement *********************************************************** Speaker: Aristidis K Nikoloulopoulos, School of Computing Sciences, University of East Anglia Title: Factor copula models for item response data Date: 28/02/2018, Hour: 11:00 Place: Meeting Room A - Zeta Building Dipartimento di Scienze Ambientali, Informatica e Statistica - DAIS Università Ca' Foscari - Venezia Edificio Zeta Via Torino, 155 I-30172 Mestre (VE) ITALY Abstract: Factor or conditional independence models based on copulas are proposed for multivariate discrete data such as item response. The factor copula models have interpretations of latent maxima/minima (in comparison with latent means) and can lead to more probability in the joint upper and/or lower tail compared with factor models based on the discretized multivariate normal distribution (or multidimensional normal ogive model). Details on maximum likelihood estimation of parameters for the factor copula model are given, as well as analysis of the behavior of the log-likelihood. Our general methodology is illustrated with several item response data sets and it is shown that there is a substantial improvement on existing models from the criteria of log-likelihood and goodness-of-fit. This talk will be based on collaborative work with Harry Joe (U. of British Columbia). -- Apologies for cross posting -- Carlo Gaetan -- Dipartimento di Scienze Ambientali, Informatica e Statistica - DAIS Università Ca' Foscari - Venezia Edificio Zeta Via Torino, 155 I-30172 Mestre (VE) ITALY phone: ++39 041 234 8404 mobile phone: ++39 366 629 7899 e-mail:[gaetan"at"unive"dot"it] web:[http://www.dais.unive.it/~gaetan] Please don't print this e-mail unless you really need to. Please avoid sending me Word, Excel or PowerPoint attachments. See http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/no-word-attachments.html. Per favore non stampate questo messaggio se non è proprio necessario. Per favore non mandatemi allegati in Word, Excel o PowerPoint. Le ragioni sono spiegate qui http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/no-word-attachments.it.html

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Open phd position in Rennes (fwd)
by Lucia Caramellino 21 Feb '18

21 Feb '18

Ricevo ed inoltro il seguente avviso. Cari saluti, Lucia ================================== Lucia Caramellino Dipartimento di Matematica Universita` di Roma "Tor Vergata" Via della Ricerca Scientifica I-00133, Roma, Italy www.mat.uniroma2.it/~caramell ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Tue, 20 Feb 2018 11:39:31 +0100 From: gpoly <guillaume.poly(a)univ-rennes1.fr> Cc: Jürgen Angst <jurgen.angst(a)univ-rennes1.fr> Subject: open phd position in Rennes Dear all, J. Angst and myself have obtained a funding for a 3 years Phd position whose subject mainly concerns random nodal sets with some emphasis on universality properties. The phd would start in september 2018 under our joint supervision. We attach to this email a brief description of the phd subject. In case you might know some possibly interested students, feel free to forward this announcement. Interested students may contact us direclty by email. Thank you in advance, Best regards, J. Angst and G. Poly

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MURF 2018: REGISTRATION OPEN + FINAL PROGRAM
by Giovanni Puccetti 21 Feb '18

21 Feb '18

REGISTRATION OPEN FOR THE WORKSHOP Model Uncertainty and Robust Finance (II edition), University of Milano, MARCH 15-16, 2018 https://sites.google.com/site/murf2018/ <https://sites.google.com/site/murf2018/> FINAL PROGRAM AVAILABLE AT https://sites.google.com/site/murf2018/program <https://sites.google.com/site/murf2018/program> CONFIRMED INVITED SPEAKERS Carole BERNARD (VUB & Grenoble EM) Roger COOKE (TU Delft) David LI (SAIF & SJTU Shangai) Massimo MARINACCI (Bocconi University) Walter SCHACHERMAYER (University of Vienna) Ludovic TANGPI (University of Vienna) DE FINETTI RISK SEMINAR on MARCH 14, 2018 (Lecture by W. SCHACHERMAYER and Welcome Reception) SPECIAL ISSUE in DEPENDENCE MODELING edited by Marco Frittelli and Emanuela Rosazza-Gianin

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