seminario di Luca Regis presso Prometeia - Bologna
Il giorno Giovedì 29 Maggio 2014, alle ore 14:30 presso la sede di Prometeia (sala grande, primo piano) via G.Marconi 43, Bologna Luca REGIS (IMT Lucca) terrà un seminario dal titolo "Longevity risk modelling and hedging via continuous-time cohort models" Abstract Longevity risk, i.e. the risk of unexpected changes in the survivorship of policyholders, is perceived as one of the major threats to the long-run solvency of annuity providers, such as pension funds. Continuous-time models represent a useful tool in the modelling of stochastic mortality. Non-mean reverting affine cohort processes (Luciano and Vigna, 2008) provide a parsimonious but accurate description of mortality tables. They are particularly suited to pricing and hedging purposes, due to their analytical tractability. I present applications of such models to the management of insurance portfolios. I focus on longevity risk hedging techniques, such as natural hedging, and reinsurance strategies. I will discuss the implementation and the effectiveness of such strategies, as well as the effects of different risk sources (interest-rate risk, investment risk) - along with longevity risk - on the solvency of insurers.
Il giorno Giovedì 12 Giugno 2014, alle ore 14:30 presso la sede di Prometeia (sala grande, primo piano) via G.Marconi 43, Bologna Sabrina MULINACCI (Università di Bologna) terrà un seminario dal titolo "Generalizations of the Marshall-Olkin distribution: applications to contagion and systemic risk modeling" Abstract A generalization of the Marshall-Olkin distribution is presented in order to allow for dependence among the systemic shock and the idiosyncratic shocks inducing defaults in a system. This model is used to incorporate contagion in the analysis of a set of obligors. The task will be to identify the infectious elements, to measure the degree of contagion and to allow for it in the estimation of the systemic risk.
participants (1)
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Giacomo Scandolo