- Random - Mailing list — Dipartimento di Matematica, UniPI

12th Bayesian nonparametric meeting
by Fabrizio Leisen 10 Dec '18

10 Dec '18

The 12th Bayesian nonparametrics (BNP) meeting will be held in Oxford from the 24th to the 28th of June 2019: http://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/bnp12/ The Bayesian nonparametrics conference is a bi-annual international meeting bringing together leading experts and talented young researchers working on applications and theory of nonparametric Bayesian statistics. It is an official section meeting of the Bayesian Nonparametrics section of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA). *****CALL for CONTRIBUTED TALKS**** The Scientific Committee invites submissions for possible contributed talks. The deadline for submitting a title/abstract is 15th December 2018. You can submit your abstract at: https://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/bnp12/index.html#abstract *****CALL for TRAVEL SUPPORT***** The submission of applications for travel support opens on 1st October 2018 and closes on 15th December 2018. Currently, there are 35 awards that could be either travel awards or accommodation awards. The support is for junior researchers (students currently enrolled in a Dphil (PhD) programme or having graduated after 1st October 2015). The applicant agrees to present her/his work at the conference as a poster or oral if awarded the travel support. Please see the following link for further details. https://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/bnp12/index.html#travelsupport -- Fabrizio Leisen Reader in Statistics Director of the Msc programmes in Statistics School of Mathematics, Statistics and Actuarial Sciences Sibson Building, University of Kent, Canterbury, CT2 7FS https://www.kent.ac.uk/smsas/our-people/profiles/leisen_fabrizio.html http://sites.google.com/site/fabrizioleisen/

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Postdoc position at Sussex
by Enrico Scalas 06 Dec '18

06 Dec '18

Dear Colleagues, At the Department of Mathematics, University of Sussex, we offer a postdoc position on Random Matrix Theory as part of a wider research project coordinated by Dr Nicholas Simm. The postdoc will focus on universality in random matrix theory, Gaussian fields and extreme value statistics. For more details, please follow the link below https://www.jobs.ac.uk/job/BOL155/research-fellow-in-mathematics The deadline for applications is 18th January 2019. Feel free to pass this message to potentially interested persons. All enquiries should be directed to Dr. Nicholas Simm (n.j.simm(a)sussex.ac.uk). Best regards, Enrico Scalas Professor of Statistics and Probability Department of Mathematics University of Sussex, UK

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Avviso di assegno di ricerca
by Domenico Marinucci 06 Dec '18

06 Dec '18

Cari colleghi è disponibile un assegno di ricerca biennale, SSD MAT06 (Probabilità e Statistica Matematica), titolo "La Geometria dei Campi Aleatori e le sue Applicazioni all'Astrostatistica", scadenza 18 dicembre 2018. Maggiori dettagli sono disponibili sul sito: http://bandi.miur.it/bandi.php/public/fellowship/id_fellow/151795 L'assegno è bandito all'interno del progetto di eccellenza MIUR presso il Dipartimento di Matematica dell'Università di Roma Tor Vergata (MATH@TOV): https://www.mat.uniroma2.it/Progetto/presentation-project.php Grazie per l'attenzione, Domenico Marinucci -- @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ Domenico Marinucci Dipartimento di Matematica Università di Roma Tor Vergata https://www.mat.uniroma2.it/~marinucc/ @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@

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Seminario ROSNER
by Matteo Ruggiero 05 Dec '18

05 Dec '18

STATISTICS SEMINARS @ COLLEGIO CARLO ALBERTO Mercoledì 12 Dicembre 2018, alle ore 12:00, presso il nuovo edificio del Collegio Carlo Alberto, in Piazza Arbarello 8, Torino, si terrà il seguente seminario: ------------------------------------------------ Gary L. ROSNER (Johns Hopkins University) BAYESIAN APPROACHES IN REGULATORY SCIENCE Regulatory science comprises the tools, standards, and approaches that regulators use to assess safety, efficacy, quality, and performance of drugs and medical devices. A major focus of regulatory science is the design and analysis of clinical trials. These clinical experiments help us learn about what works clinically and what does not work. The results of clinical trials support therapeutic and policy decisions. Decision making also arises when designing clinical trials. Investigators make many decisions regarding various aspects of how they will carry out the study, such as the primary objective of the study, primary and secondary endpoints, methods of analysis, sample size, etc. Many scientists have advocated greater application of Bayesian statistical inference in regulatory science, and applications of Bayesian methods in drug and device development continue to increase. This talk presents a vision of the drug and device development framework and the way Bayesian inference fits naturally within it. In particular, I advocate greater application of Bayesian decision theory in clinical evaluation of therapeutics. I present some examples that illustrate how one can use decision theory in the design of a clinical study. I also point out some of the challenges one encounters when applying decision theory to clinical research. ------------------------------------------------ Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare. Il seminario è organizzato dalla "de Castro" Statistics Initiative (www.carloalberto.org/stats) in collaborazione con il Collegio Carlo Alberto. Cordiali saluti, Matteo Ruggiero --- Matteo Ruggiero University of Torino and Collegio Carlo Alberto www.matteoruggiero.it

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4th Conference "Energy Finance Italia" - Call for papers
by Tiziano Vargiolu 04 Dec '18

04 Dec '18

(apologies for cross-postings) CALL FOR PAPERS CONFERENCE NAME: Energy Finance Italia (EFI-4) DATES: February 4-5, 2019 LOCATION: University of Milano - Bicocca, Milano, Italy WEBSITE: http://www.ief.unimib.it/ JOURNAL ISSUES: - To be announced IMPORTANT DATES: - January 4, 2019: Extended Deadline of submissions - January 13,2019: Notification for acceptance/ rejection - January 20, 2019: Deadline for the payment of fees - February 4-5, 2019: Workshop Days ABSTRACT SUBMISSION: Extended abstracts can be submitted via the conference website. SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE: - Federico Boffa, University of Bolzano - Rita D'Ecclesia, University of Roma ?La Sapienza? - Enrico Moretto, University of Insubria - Fulvio Fontini, University of Padova - Helyette Geman, Birkbeck ? University of London and Johns Hopkins University - Michele Governatori, Axpo Italia - Carlo Lucheroni, University of Camerino - Carlo Mari, University of Chieti ? Pescara ?G. D?Annunzio? - Carlo Menchini, ENI - Alessandro Sapio, University of Napoli ?Parthenope? - Elisa Scarpa, Edison - Silvana Stefani, University of Milano ? Bicocca - Stefan Trueck, Macquarie University - Tiziano Vargiolu, University of Padova - Rafal Weron, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology ORGANIZING COMMITTEE: - Silvana Stefani (University of Milano - Bicocca) - Tiziano Vargiolu (University of Padova) - Carlo Mari (University of Chieti - Pescara) - Carlo Lucheroni (University of Camerino) - Enrico Moretto (Univeristy of Insubria) - Gleda Kutrolli (University of Milano - Bicocca) -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tiziano Vargiolu Dipartimento di Matematica Phone: +39 049 8271383 Universita' di Padova Fax: +39 049 8271428 Via Trieste, 63 E-mail: vargiolu(a)math.unipd.it I-35121 Padova (Italy) WWW: http://www.math.unipd.it/~vargiolu --------------------------------------------------------------------------

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Final Announcement QFW2019 ETH Zurich
by Maria Elvira Mancino 03 Dec '18

03 Dec '18

Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2018 18:56:30 +0200 From: Josef Teichmann <jteichma(a)math.ethz.ch> CC: christa.cuchiero(a)univie.ac.at, qfw2019(a)math.ethz.ch Subject: 1st announcement QFW2019 Zurich User-Agent: Mutt/1.9.1 (2017-09-22) Dear colleagues, it is our great pleasure to announce the XX edition of the Workshop on Quantitative Finance (QFW2019) held at ETH Zurich The website of QFW2019 is https://people.math.ethz.ch/~jteichma/index.php?content=qfw2019 and you can find all relevant information there. The conference takes place from January 23 to January 25, 2019 and will last for three full days. You can just participate (registration is necessary and can be done by simply replying to this email providing "name + dates of attendance + intention to participate at the conference dinner") but you are warmheartedly invited to submit a paper: deadline for the submission of an extended abstract is November 30, deadline for submitting the paper is December 28, 2018. Accepted papers will be presented and discussed at the conference. With our best regards. Christa Cuchiero and Josef Teichmann -- Prof Josef Teichmann Department of Mathematics ETH Zürich Rämistrasse 101 8092 Zürich Switzerland fon +41 44 632 31 74 mobil +41 79 584 55 40 email jteichma(a)math.ethz.ch web www.math.ethz.ch/~jteichma

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Minicorso PAPASPILIOPOULOS
by Matteo Ruggiero 03 Dec '18

03 Dec '18

Cari colleghi, nell’ambito del programma di Visiting Professors per la Laurea Magistrale in Stochastics and Data Science dell’Università di Torino https://www.master-sds.unito.it/ siamo lieti di annunciare il seguente minicorso: ------------------------------------------------ Omiros PAPASPILIOPOULOS (Universitat Pompeu Fabra) SCALABLE ALGORITHMS IN MODERN BAYESIAN COMPUTATION ------------------------------------------------ Il corso si terrà al terzo piano di Corso Unione Sovietica 218/bis, 10134, Torino, secondo il seguente calendario: 11 Dicembre 11:15-13:15 (aula 11) 11 Dicembre 14:00-16:00 (aula 30) 12 Dicembre 14:00-16:00 (aula 30) 13 Dicembre 11:15-13:15 (aula 11) La partecipazione è libera per tutti gli interessati. Il programma completo di Visiting Professors è consultabile alla pagina https://www.master-sds.unito.it/do/home.pl/View?doc=visitingprofessors.html Questa iniziativa è supportata da Fondazione CRT, Torino e da "de Castro" Statistics Initiative (www.carloalberto.org/stats). Cordiali saluti, I coordinatori del Corso di Studi Laura Sacerdote e Matteo Ruggiero --- Matteo Ruggiero University of Torino and Collegio Carlo Alberto www.matteoruggiero.it

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Annuncio Seminario (UNIMIB) - S. Bonaccorsi
by gianmario tessitore 03 Dec '18

03 Dec '18

Si avvisa che in data 11-12-2018, alle ore 11:00, presso l'Aula 3014 del Dipartimento di Matematica e Applicazioni dell'Università di Milano-Bicocca, si svolgerà il seguente seminario: Relatore Stefano Bonaccorsi (Università di Trento) Titolo: Some notes on Malliavin calculus, surface integrals and integration by parts formulae in infinite dimensional spaces Abstract: We introduce a basic construction of the Malliavin calculus which unifies some different perspectives (e.g., Bogachev, Da Prato, Lunardi, Nualart). Then we introduce, for suitable functionals of the Brownian motion, the problem of constructing a surface measure (i.e., the restriction of the reference measure on the infinite dimensional Wiener space) on the level sets defined by them. Finally, we give some interpretation of such results in terms of other stochastic processes. Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare. -- Gianmario Tessitore Dipartimento di Matematica e Applicazioni Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca

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Fwd: Postdoc position in random graphs / discrete probability
by Elisabetta Candellero 03 Dec '18

03 Dec '18

---------- Forwarded message --------- From: Dieter Mitsche <dmitsche(a)gmail.com> Date: Sun, Dec 2, 2018 at 9:23 PM Subject: Postdoc position in random graphs / discrete probability To: Dear colleagues, I am currently advertising a postdoc position in discrete probability/random graphs (one year, deadline January 15). Please transfer the announcement below to potential candidates. Thanks in advance, dieter =============== *Postdoc position at Univ. Jean Monnet / Institut Camille Jordan for 2019 (1 year)* (you may also click on this link for more details: https://math.unice.fr/~dmitsche/Postdoc.pdf) Applications are invited for a 12-month-postdoctoral fellowship in discrete probability at Université Jean Monnet, Institut Camille Jordan. The position is funded by IDEX Lyon IMPULSION. *Research areas*: random graphs, random geometric (hyperbolic) graphs, random walks, discrete probability in general. *Practical informations:* - The position is for one year (12 months) with a salary of approx. 27K Euro (in the case of less than 3 years experience after the PhD) and approx. 34K Euro (between 3 and 6 years experience after the PhD). - Financial support to attend workshops / invite collaborators will be granted. - No teaching - A lot of activity around discrete probability going on - The starting date is flexible, between February and September 2019. The candidate should indicate the preferred starting date in the application letter. *Application and deadline:* Applications including a CV, a list of publications and an approximately two-page description of research interests should be sent by email to Dieter Mitsche: dmitsche(a)gmail.com. Applicants should also arrange two recommendation letters (to be sent to the same address). Informal inquiries can be sent to the same address. Deadline for applications: January 15th, 2019, and then on a rolling basis.

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Corso al Gran Sasso Science Instittute
by davide gabrielli 01 Dec '18

01 Dec '18

Professor Antonio Galves (USP, Brazil) will visit GSSI - LAquila from December 2 till December 20. He will give a course on ``Markov chains with variable memory for the phd students. The first class will be December 3 at 15 room D. The schedule of the other classes is: Every Monday 9-11 and 15-16 Every Tuesday 9-11. Davide Gabrielli

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2 years postdoc position in statistics
by Guillaume Kon Kam King 30 Nov '18

30 Nov '18

Dear all, Benoit Liquet (https://sites.google.com/site/benoitliquet/home) is advertising a postdoc position in Statistics, located in the South-West of France, near Biarritz. More details below, and in attachment. Please forward if you know any interested candidate. Best, Guillaume KON KAM KING Università degli Studi di Torino *https://sites.google.com/site/guillaumekonkamking/home <https://sites.google.com/site/guillaumekonkamking/home>* Recruitment grade: young researcher (i.e. with PhD) Location: Anglet, France Duration: 12 to 24 months, starting late 2018 (December or January 2019) Deadline: position open until filled Gross Salary Range: 2699 euros / month Postdoc description: Recently, several approaches were developed for completing the agnostic > genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in the discovery of new genetic risk > factors. One such approach is gene set analysis (GSA) that incorporates the > available biological knowledge of genes in order to provide additional > insights into the mechanisms involved in carcinogenesis. Another approach > proposed to test variants for association for multiple phenotypes as over > the years multiple loci have been found to be associated to several > distinct traits revealing the existence of pleiotropic effects. Although a > number of statistical approaches have been proposed in the literature for > identifying the existence of pleiotropy at SNP-level, not a lot of work has > been conducted for investigating pleiotropy at gene- and pathway-levels. We > aim to fill this gap by developing advanced statistical methods that test > for pleiotropic effects at a pathway level. Also, we will extend these > methods for the analysis of GxE interactions, as to the best of our > knowledge, pleiotropy methods have not adapted for testing for GxE > interactions. Therefore, our first objective is to develop novel > statistical methods that will identify shared pathways between different > diseases. Our second aim is to extend these methods for testing GxE in > general or in the context of pleiotropy. These methods will be applied to > explore the genetic relationship between differentiated thyroid cancer > (DTC) and breast cancer (BC) types. It has been shown that these two > cancers are linked as women with a prior history of DTC are at an increased > risk for BC and conversely. Both tumors have been shown to be associated to > common hormonal risk factors and shared genetic susceptibility is > suspected. We will use data from the CECILE study (1019 BC cases and 999 > controls) and from EPITHYR (1345 DTC cases and 1399 controls). All subjects > were genotyped using the OncoArray chip that includes more than 500 000 > variants. Through the developments of novel statistical methods, we aim to > elucidate the common mechanisms between BC and DTC. This project will lead > to the development of new statistical methods that will benefit both the > epidemiology and statistical communities. These methods will permit to gain > novel insights into the inherited genetic basis of BC and DTC by > identifying the common biological elements that contribute to their > aetiology.

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2 years postdoc position in statistics
by Guillaume Kon Kam King 30 Nov '18

30 Nov '18

Dear all, Benoit Liquet (https://sites.google.com/site/benoitliquet/home) is advertising a postdoc position in Statistics, located in the South-West of France, near Biarritz. More details below, and in attachment. Please forward if you know any interested candidate. Best, Guillaume KON KAM KING Università degli Studi di Torino *https://sites.google.com/site/guillaumekonkamking/home <https://sites.google.com/site/guillaumekonkamking/home>* Recruitment grade: young researcher (i.e. with PhD) Location: Anglet, France Duration: 12 to 24 months, starting late 2018 (December or January 2019) Deadline: position open until filled Gross Salary Range: 2699 euros / month Postdoc description: Recently, several approaches were developed for completing the agnostic > genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in the discovery of new genetic risk > factors. One such approach is gene set analysis (GSA) that incorporates the > available biological knowledge of genes in order to provide additional > insights into the mechanisms involved in carcinogenesis. Another approach > proposed to test variants for association for multiple phenotypes as over > the years multiple loci have been found to be associated to several > distinct traits revealing the existence of pleiotropic effects. Although a > number of statistical approaches have been proposed in the literature for > identifying the existence of pleiotropy at SNP-level, not a lot of work has > been conducted for investigating pleiotropy at gene- and pathway-levels. We > aim to fill this gap by developing advanced statistical methods that test > for pleiotropic effects at a pathway level. Also, we will extend these > methods for the analysis of GxE interactions, as to the best of our > knowledge, pleiotropy methods have not adapted for testing for GxE > interactions. Therefore, our first objective is to develop novel > statistical methods that will identify shared pathways between different > diseases. Our second aim is to extend these methods for testing GxE in > general or in the context of pleiotropy. These methods will be applied to > explore the genetic relationship between differentiated thyroid cancer > (DTC) and breast cancer (BC) types. It has been shown that these two > cancers are linked as women with a prior history of DTC are at an increased > risk for BC and conversely. Both tumors have been shown to be associated to > common hormonal risk factors and shared genetic susceptibility is > suspected. We will use data from the CECILE study (1019 BC cases and 999 > controls) and from EPITHYR (1345 DTC cases and 1399 controls). All subjects > were genotyped using the OncoArray chip that includes more than 500 000 > variants. Through the developments of novel statistical methods, we aim to > elucidate the common mechanisms between BC and DTC. This project will lead > to the development of new statistical methods that will benefit both the > epidemiology and statistical communities. These methods will permit to gain > novel insights into the inherited genetic basis of BC and DTC by > identifying the common biological elements that contribute to their > aetiology.

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Avviso di seminario :: Causeur@DSS (Scienze Statistiche, Sapienza)
by Pierpaolo Brutti 30 Nov '18

30 Nov '18

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- A v v i s o d i S e m i n a r i o ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mercoledì 05 Dicembre, ore 11:00am ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sala 34 (quarto piano) Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche Sapienza Università di Roma DAVID CAUSEUR (Agrocampus Ouest, Dep. of Statistics and Computer Science) terrà un seminario dal titolo HANDLING DEPENDENCE OR NOT IN STATISTICAL LEARNING FOR HIGH-DIMENSIONAL DATA tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Saluti Pierpaolo Brutti --- ABSTRACT The proper way to handle dependence across features in high-throughput data has raised fundamental discussions with unclear general conclusions or final recommendations. One of the most obvious illustration of this point is the tremendous effort of the statistics research community to address the impact of dependence on the False Discovery Rate (FDR)-controlling method by Benjamini and Hochberg (1995), which was initially designed under an independence assumption. Another famous questioning example is provided by the strikingly good performance of a naïve Bayes procedure ignoring dependence in a comparative study of machine learning methods by Dudoit et al. (2002) to predict classes from gene expression data. Addressing the dependence issue has often consisted in assessing its detrimental impact on the performance of standard methods designed to be optimal under independence, and deduce patches. To be valid for arbitrarily complex dependence patterns, such approaches in which dependence is viewed as a curse can lead to poorly powerful procedures. Therefore, both for machine learning and testing issues, a new generation of methods have emerged, advocating for an ad-hoc handling of dependence consisting in a preliminary whitening of the data (see Ahdesmäki and Strimmer, 2010, Hall and Jin, 2010). However, disentangling the dependent noise and the true association signal is very challenging and decorrelation can then lead to an alteration of the true association signal. For the purpose of global testing, where the objective is to test for the significance of an association signal between a set of features and a covariate, Arias-Castro el al. (2011) suggests that the optimal handling of dependence shall be specific of the pattern of the true association signal, especially through its sparsity rate. The former global testing framework covers a wide scope of applications, such as functional Analysis of Variance (fANOVA) and association tests between a region of the genome formed by contiguous Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNP) and a case/control response variable in Genome Wide Association Studies. Interestingly, in the two former fields of applications, many popular methods are just based on simple aggregation of pointwise test statistics ignoring their dependence. The talk will start by a selection of short stories with confusing conclusions about the proper way to handle dependence. After a tentative clarification, I will introduce two methods for global testing in which whitening is adapted both to the pattern of dependence across pointwise test statistics and to the pattern of the true signal. The performance of the two testing methods will be illustrated by applications to significance analysis of ElectroEncephalogram curves in Event-Related Potentials (ERP) designs and by SNPset approaches of Genome Wide Association Studies for genetic epidemiology issues. We also discuss the applications of the former general principles to prediction in high-dimension.

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Conference in honor of Aad van der Vaart
by Antonio Lijoi 30 Nov '18

30 Nov '18

Cari tutti, su gentile richiesta degli organizzatori, inoltro l'annuncio del convegno in onore di Aad van der Vaart. Saluti, AL ------------ Dear Colleagues, We are organising a conference between the 17th and 21st of June, 2019, in Leiden celebrating Aad van der Vaart's contributions to statistics on the occasion of his 60th birthday.If you are interested in participating, please register as soon as possible on the conference webpage (we have only limited space at the conference venue and registration is on first come first served base): http://pub.math.leidenuniv.nl/~schmidthieberaj/aadbirthday/index.html (if the link does not work, please try to copy it to the web browser.) The conference fee is 200 euro, which includes the welcome reception on Monday afternoon, and sandwich lunch, coffee and tea during the conference. To complete your registration, please send the registration fee to the following account: Bank name: Rabobank account number: 0102468869 IBAN: NL78RABO 0102468869 Swiftcode: RABONL2U in the name of: Universiteit Leiden cs Fac. W&N *mention:* SAPnummer 2009008062 and your name We will regularly check the account and will send you a confirmation letter once we received the registration fee. For further information, please do not hesitate to contact us (via the email address: b.t.szabo(a)math.leidenuniv.nl). Best wishes and hope to see you next year in Leiden, Subhashis Ghoshal Mathisca de Gunst Jacqueline Meulman Stéphanie van der Pas Johannes Schmidt-Hieber Botond Szabo Harry van Zanten

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2019 ABS Summer School on Bayesian Demography (Como, Italy)
by Consonni Guido 29 Nov '18

29 Nov '18

We are glad to announce that the 2019 Applied Bayesian Statistics Summer School (16th edition) will be held in the magnificent Villa del Grumello, Como (Italy) along the Lake Como shore. BAYESIAN DEMOGRAPHY 24-28 June, 2019 Lecturers: Adrian Raftery and Hana Ševcíková University of Washington, Seattle, USA Further details are provided below. Guido Consonni and Fabrizio Ruggeri ABS19 Directors Raffaele Argiento ABS19 Executive Director ---------------------------------------------------------------- ******************************* * ABS19 * ******************************* Applied Bayesian Statistics School BAYESIAN DEMOGRAPHY Villa del Grumello, Como, Italy 24-28 June, 2019 Lecturers: - Adrian Raftery, the Boeing International Professor of Statistics and Sociology - Hana Ševcíková, Senior Research Scientist Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology, University of Washington, Seattle, USA The School webpage is http://web.mi.imati.cnr.it/conferences/abs19/index.html Registration is now open. Please note that the conference room allows only for a very limited number of participants. COURSE OUTLINE Population projections have until recently usually been done deterministically. Recently, the United Nation Population Division adopted a probabilistic approach to project fertility, mortality and population for all countries. In this approach, the total fertility rate and female and male life expectancy at birth are projected using Bayesian hierarchical models estimated via Markov Chain Monte Carlo. They are then combined with a cohort component model, which yields probabilistic projection for any quantity of interest. The methodology is implemented in a suite of R packages, which has been used by the UN analysts to produce the most recent revision of the World Population Prospects. This course will teach the theory and practice of Bayesian probabilistic projections. Ideas of the Bayesian hierarchical modeling for the three main components of population change, fertility, mortality and migration, will be explained. In hands-on exercises, students will become familiar with the functionality of the R packages. PRACTICAL INFORMATION The school will replicate the successful format of the previous years, and will feature lectures and practical sessions, as well as participants' talks. It will start on Monday after lunch and end on Friday before lunch; Wednesday afternoon is free. Accommodation is available either at the Villa guesthouse or in downtown hotels (info will appear soon on the website). Como can be easily reached by train from Milan and its airports. More details are available on the website. Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Largo Gemelli, 1 20123 Milano; ITALY Ph: +39 02 7234 3049 https://sites.google.com/site/consonnibayes/home [http://Static.unicatt.it/layout/img/layout/5x1000.gif] Destina il tuo 5 per mille all’Università Cattolica CF 02133120150 www.unicatt.it/5permille<http://www.unicatt.it/5permille/>

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PhD Scholarship in Network Science and Data Science
by Yilun Shang 29 Nov '18

29 Nov '18

Dear Colleague, A fully-funded PhD scholarship is available under the supervision of Dr. Yilun Shang at Computer and Information Sciences Department of Northumbria University, Newcastle, UK Complex network analysis and resilience in large-scale multi-layer networks The goal of this project is to investigate and develop new data science approaches to model large-scale networks. Recent advances in network science have enabled researchers to understand the resilience of large-scale topological systems and develop algorithms to improve their robustness in the presence of different classes of failures and perturbations. This project aims to further enhance the understanding of large-scale complex systems and create a platform to translate fundamental research into real-world impact. Random graph models and numerical simulations will be used. Deadline for applications: Friday 25 January 2019 Start Date: 1 October 2019 Funding: The studentship is available to Students Worldwide, and covers full fees and a full stipend, paid for three years at RCUK rates (for 2018/19, this is £14,777 pa) More details are available at https://www.findaphd.com/search/ProjectDetails.aspx?PJID=103773 Feel free to share this message with prospective students. Best regards, Yilun Shang --- Dr. Yilun Shang Associate Professor Department of Computer and Information Sciences Northumbria University https://www.northumbria.ac.uk/about-us/our-staff/s/yilun-shang/

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1-2 years postdoc position in statistics
by Guillaume Kon Kam King 29 Nov '18

29 Nov '18

Dear all, Benoit Liquet (https://sites.google.com/site/benoitliquet/home) is advertising a postdoc position in Statistics, located in the South-West of France, near Biarritz. More details below, and in attachment. Please forward if you know any interested candidate. Best, Guillaume KON KAM KING Università degli Studi di Torino *https://sites.google.com/site/guillaumekonkamking/home <https://sites.google.com/site/guillaumekonkamking/home>* Recruitment grade: young researcher (i.e. with PhD) Location: Anglet, France Duration: 12 to 24 months, starting late 2018 (December or January 2019) Deadline: position open until filled Gross Salary Range: 2699 euros / month Postdoc description: Recently, several approaches were developed for completing the agnostic > genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in the discovery of new genetic risk > factors. One such approach is gene set analysis (GSA) that incorporates the > available biological knowledge of genes in order to provide additional > insights into the mechanisms involved in carcinogenesis. Another approach > proposed to test variants for association for multiple phenotypes as over > the years multiple loci have been found to be associated to several > distinct traits revealing the existence of pleiotropic effects. Although a > number of statistical approaches have been proposed in the literature for > identifying the existence of pleiotropy at SNP-level, not a lot of work has > been conducted for investigating pleiotropy at gene- and pathway-levels. We > aim to fill this gap by developing advanced statistical methods that test > for pleiotropic effects at a pathway level. Also, we will extend these > methods for the analysis of GxE interactions, as to the best of our > knowledge, pleiotropy methods have not adapted for testing for GxE > interactions. Therefore, our first objective is to develop novel > statistical methods that will identify shared pathways between different > diseases. Our second aim is to extend these methods for testing GxE in > general or in the context of pleiotropy. These methods will be applied to > explore the genetic relationship between differentiated thyroid cancer > (DTC) and breast cancer (BC) types. It has been shown that these two > cancers are linked as women with a prior history of DTC are at an increased > risk for BC and conversely. Both tumors have been shown to be associated to > common hormonal risk factors and shared genetic susceptibility is > suspected. We will use data from the CECILE study (1019 BC cases and 999 > controls) and from EPITHYR (1345 DTC cases and 1399 controls). All subjects > were genotyped using the OncoArray chip that includes more than 500 000 > variants. Through the developments of novel statistical methods, we aim to > elucidate the common mechanisms between BC and DTC. This project will lead > to the development of new statistical methods that will benefit both the > epidemiology and statistical communities. These methods will permit to gain > novel insights into the inherited genetic basis of BC and DTC by > identifying the common biological elements that contribute to their > aetiology.

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Final Call for submissions to QFW2019 Zurich
by Francesco Cesarone 28 Nov '18

28 Nov '18

Dear colleagues, submission of extended abstracts for QFW2019 in Zurich is open until November 30. The website of QFW2019 is https://people.math.ethz.ch/~jteichma/index.php?content=qfw2019 and you can find all relevant information there. The conference takes place from January 23 to January 25, 2019 and will last for three full days. You can just participate (registration is necessary and can be done by simply replying to this email providing "name + dates of attendance + intention to participate at the conference dinner") but you are warmheartedly invited to submit a paper: deadline for the submission of an extended abstract is November 30, deadline for submitting the paper is December 28, 2018. Accepted papers will be presented and discussed at the conference. With our best regards. Christa Cuchiero and Josef Teichmann -- Prof Josef Teichmann Department of Mathematics ETH Zürich Rämistrasse 101 8092 Zürich Switzerland fon +41 44 632 31 74 mobil +41 79 584 55 40 email jteichma(a)math.ethz.ch web www.math.ethz.ch/~jteichma -- Video - Quantitative Finance Workshop 2018 - Uniroma3 <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DrAdCK8ht8&feature=youtu.be> http://disa.uniroma3.it/qfw2018/ -- Francesco Cesarone - Ph.D. Ricercatore - Assistant Professor Dipartimento di Economia Aziendale Università Roma Tre Via Silvio D'Amico, 77 00145 - Roma tel: +39 06 57335744 Skype: francesco.cesarone email: francesco.cesarone(a)uniroma3.it Studio n. 20 piano V WWW: http://host.uniroma3.it/docenti/cesarone/

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ISIPTA 2019 - Call for papers
by Serena Doria 26 Nov '18

26 Nov '18

ISIPTA 2019: there?s more to uncertainty than probabilities! What if we told you that ?There?s more to uncertainty than probabilities.? Would you agree? Would you object? Are you intrigued? Regardless of the answer, you have a place at, and are invited to submit a paper to, ISIPTA 2019, the 20-year anniversary edition of the world?s main forum on imprecise probabilities. Already convinced? Then come to Ghent, Belgium, 3-6 July 2019, and take a look at the following website for any and all details you might require: http://isipta2019.ugent.be. Not convinced yet? Then perhaps the following features can convince you: Topic: ISIPTA 2019 is devoted to robustness and imprecision in uncertainty modelling, inference and decision making, focusing in particular on uncertainty frameworks that extend or replace the probabilistic one. Concept: Each accepted contribution is presented and discussed, in two separate sessions. Presentations are short and plenary. Detailed explanations and discussions are face-to-face, with the aid of a poster, a whiteboard, pen and paper, or whichever medium you prefer. Atmosphere: ISIPTA conferences are characterised by a friendly and cooperative style, a strong emphasis on in-depth discussion and a true openness to new ideas. We hope that you too will both enjoy and contribute to this unique atmosphere. Venue: Ghent has been called ?Belgium?s best kept secret? by the Lonely Planet travel guide and a ?medieval masterpiece? by The Guardian. The conference itself takes place in an old Augustinian monastery, situated in its historic city centre. Types of contributions: We accept long papers, short papers and poster abstracts. Papers are published in a volume of PMLR, unless explicitly preferred otherwise by their authors. We look forward to receiving your contribution and/or to seeing you in Ghent! Sincerely, The ISIPTA 2019 Steering Committee and PC board F. Cozman (University of Sao Paulo, Brazil) J. De Bock (Ghent University, Belgium) G. de Cooman (Ghent University, Belgium) C. de Campos (Utrecht University, The Netherlands) E. Quaeghebeur (Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands) T. Seidenfeld (Carnegie Mellon University, USA) G. Wheeler (Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, Germany)

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Convegno Reasoning under partial knowledge - Conference in honor of Giulianella Coletti's 70th birthday
by Davide Petturiti 26 Nov '18

26 Nov '18

A tutti gli interessati, si avvisa che nei giorni 14-15 dicembre 2018 si terrà a Perugia il seguente convegno: Reasoning under partial knowledge - Conference in honor of Giulianella Coletti's 70th birthday https://sites.google.com/view/reaspartknow/ Molto cordialmente, Davide Petturiti -- Davide Petturiti, Ph.D. Department of Economics University of Perugia Address: via Pascoli 20, 06123 Perugia, Italy Phone: +39-075-585-5218 Fax: +39-075-585-5950 Email: davide.petturiti(a)unipg.it <davide.petturiti(a)dmi.unipg.it> Website: https://sites.google.com/site/davidepetturiti

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Fwd: Postdoc position in Lyon in probability / statistical physics
by Francesco Caravenna 22 Nov '18

22 Nov '18

Ricevo e inoltro > Da: Christophe Garban <garban(a)math.univ-lyon1.fr> > Oggetto: Postdoc position in Lyon in probability / statistical physics > Data: 22 novembre 2018 13:34:20 CET > > Dear colleagues, > > I am currenlty advertising a postdoc position in probability/statistical physics in Lyon 1 (deadline January, 8th). > Please transfer the announcement below to potential candidates. > > Thanks a lot! > Best, > Christophe. > > ---------------------- > Postdoc position in Lyon for 2019 > Université Lyon 1 > (funded by the ERC project LiKo) > > Applications are invited for a postdoctoral fellowship in probability at the University Lyon 1. > The postdoc is funded by the European Research Council grant LiKo. > > Main research areas include: statistical physics (percolation, Ising, FK, spin $O(n)$ models etc.), scaling limits (at and near the critical point), conformal invariance (and SLE, CLE, GFF...), Liouville quantum gravity, Euclidean quantum field theory, noise sensitivity, a touch of turbulence and SPDEs. > > Practical informations: > (you may also click on this link : http://math.univ-lyon1.fr/~garban/Fichiers/PostdocLyon2019.pdf <http://math.univ-lyon1.fr/~garban/Fichiers/PostdocLyon2019.pdf>) > - The position is for two years (1+1), with a salary of approx. 27000 per year (between year 0 and 3 after PhD) and approx. 34000 euros per year (between year 3 and 5 after PhD). > - Substantial financial support to attend conferences, workshops and invite collaborators will be granted. (Approx 5000 euros/year). > - No teaching. > - A lot of activity around probability in Lyon. > - Great city :-) > - The expected starting date is September 2019, but a different date may be arranged. > > Application and deadline: > Applications including a CV, a list of publications and a (approximately) three-pages description of research interests should be sent by email to Christophe Garban (garban(a)math.univ-lyon1.fr <mailto:garban@math.univ-lyon1.fr>) > Applicants should also arrange for up to three letters of recommendation to be sent to the same address. > They will be evaluated first after January 8th, 2019 and then on a rolling basis.

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Lecturer/senior lecturer position in probability and analysis at Imperial College London
by Brigo, Damiano 20 Nov '18

20 Nov '18

The Pure Mathematics Section in the Department of Mathematics is seeking applications for a Lecturer/Senior Lecturer position in the field of Analysis and Probability, starting on 1 September 2019, or as soon as possible thereafter. Further information can be found in the Departmental website. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/jobs/description/NAT00317/lecturersenior-lecture… Best wishes, D ----------------------- Prof. Damiano Brigo Chair of Mathematical Finance, Head of the MF Research Group and member of the Stochastic Analysis Group Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, damiano.brigo(a)imperial.ac.uk http://www.imperial.ac.uk/people/damiano.brigo

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seminario Felix Liebrich - 22 novembre - REMINDER
by Emanuela Rosazza 20 Nov '18

20 Nov '18

Si avvisa che il giorno giovedì 22 novembre alle ore 14 presso l’Università di Milano- Bicocca (via degli Arcimboldi 8 - edificio U7, quarto piano- aula 4026) si terrà il seguente seminario: Speaker: Felix-Benedikt Liebrich (LMU Muenchen, Germany) Titolo: “Sharing utility and risk under (partial) law-invariance” Abstract: The so-called risk sharing problem has two variants: (1) How can an aggregation of individual utilities within a system of agents be maximised by means of distributing a certain good, or (2) how can an aggregation of individual risks be minimised by means of redistributing a certain loss the system incurs? The problem has a long history in economics and financial mathematics, and solving it in relevant infinite dimensional spaces is very challenging. Substantial results have been obtained in the context of Pareto efficiency of such sharing schemes when law-invariant (risk) preferences are involved. These rank Savage acts -- random variables -- in a way which only depends on their distribution under a fixed reference probability measure. It was shown that Pareto efficient allocations (i.e. sharing schemes) exist. For problem (1) of maximising aggregated utility, the talk presents a unifying framework in which solutions to the risk sharing problem can be found. As applications, we will discuss the existence of weakly Pareto efficient allocations, Pareto efficient allocations, and core allocations. In a second part, we solve the risk sharing problem (2) for a wide class of capital requirements determining individual risks. These will not be law-invariant functionals, but build on a law-invariant ingredient. The talk is based on joint work with Gregor Svindland. Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare. Un saluto cordiale, Emanuela ******************************************************************************************* Emanuela Rosazza Gianin Dipartimento di Statistica e Metodi Quantitativi Università di Milano-Bicocca Edificio U7 – 4° Piano Via Bicocca degli Arcimboldi, 8 20126 Milano Tel. 02 64483208 Fax. 02 64483105 e-mail: emanuela.rosazza1(a)unimib.it *******************************************************************************************

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Post-Doc Announcement
by Giovanni Peccati 20 Nov '18

20 Nov '18

Dear Colleagues, a new two years post-doc position is open in my group, at Luxembourg University. - 2 years (24 months) fixed term contract, full time (40h/week) - Start date: From March 1st, 2019 (earliest possible date) to June 1st, 2019 (latest possible date). - Research Group: Probability (Giovanni Peccati). - Domain: stochastic analysis, stochastic geometry and functional inequalities. Further details can be found here: http://emea3.mrted.ly/20j3s Please, kindly inform any potential candidate. With my best regards, Giovanni Peccati -- Prof. Giovanni Peccati ------------------------------------------ UR en Mathématiques Faculté des Sciences, de la Technologie et de la Communication ------------------------------------------ Université du Luxembourg ----------------------------------------- homepage: http://sites.google.com/site/giovannipeccati/Home E-mail: giovanni.peccati(a)gmail.com

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Statistics Seminar 2018 - Giovedì 29 Novembre 2018 - Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna
by Alberto Lanconelli 19 Nov '18

19 Nov '18

Statistics Seminar 2018 Giovedì 29 Novembre 2018 alle ore 15:00 presso l' Aula II della Scuola di Economia, Management e Statistica - Piazza Scaravilli 1-2 il Prof. Nicola Cufaro Petroni (Dipartimento di Matematica e TIRES, Università degli Studi di Bari e INFN) terrà il seminario dal titolo: Thou shalt not say “at random” in vain: Bertrand’s paradox exposed Abstract: We show by means of a few examples that the well known Bertrand paradoxes do not point to any probabilistic inconsistency, but rather to the risks incurred with a careless use of the locution at random. Empirical remarks are added Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare Cordiali saluti Alberto Lanconelli Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche "Paolo Fortunati" Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna

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